Udinese vs Como Prediction, Tips & Odds
Udinese vs Como
Match Preview
The model favours Como to win this match against Udinese, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Como enters the season with a strong recent form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches, which includes three wins and two draws. This positive momentum from the previous season positions them well for their opener, suggesting they have the confidence and cohesion needed to start strong. On the other hand, Udinese, currently positioned at the bottom of the table, has not yet played this season. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could hinder their performance, especially as they face a team that comes into the match with a solid unbeaten record. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for Como, reflecting their stronger recent form and overall readiness. However, a potential caveat for Como is the pressure of being expected to perform well against a newly starting opponent, which could lead to unexpected challenges. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Udinese manage games at home, conceding just 1.10 goals per match. Como score 1.90 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.
Como have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Como win as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Como are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Udinese vs Como| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.40 | 3.45 | 1.81 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 4.75 | 3.54 | 1.83 | 2.13 | 1.74 | 1.93 | 1.78 | |
| 4.75 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 4.91 | 3.53 | 1.84 | 2.17 | 1.76 | — | — | |
| 4.33 | 3.39 | 1.82 | 2.11 | 1.78 | — | — | |
| 4.40 | 3.30 | 1.83 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 4.86 | 3.62 | 1.88 | 2.19 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.80 | |
| 4.90 | 3.30 | 1.77 | 2.10 | 1.72 | 1.93 | 1.82 | |
| 4.40 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
Betano | 4.90 | 3.60 | 1.85 | 2.12 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.82 |
Superbet | 4.50 | 3.55 | 1.85 | 2.10 | 1.74 | 1.95 | 1.82 |
BetVictor | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 2.01 | 1.69 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Como leads 2-1)The head-to-head record between Udinese and Como stands at 1 win for Udinese, 1 draw, and 2 wins for Como over the last four matches. The results show a competitive nature, with Como winning two of the encounters, including a notable 4-1 victory. The matches have been relatively low-scoring overall, highlighted by a 0-0 draw and a narrow 1-0 win for both teams. Como's recent success, particularly their back-to-back wins, indicates they have had the upper hand historically, while Udinese last secured a win against Como in 2024.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 5 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 6 |  Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 18 |  Venezia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 20 |  Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonUdinese have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Venezia 2-1 and drew with Como 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 11L from the last 30 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Como have won 9 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Como 1-4 and beat Napoli 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 11D 4L from the last 30 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
5 playersUdinese4
Como1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Arena has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Udinese have averaged 3.5 corners per match at home; Como 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Como have generated 1.65 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 6.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Como player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
