VfB Stuttgart vs Viking Prediction, Tips & Odds
VfB Stuttgart vs Viking
Match Preview
The model favours VfB Stuttgart to win against Viking with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Stuttgart has shown solid form recently, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This consistency in performance is crucial as they approach the group stage of the UEFA Champions League, where teams must establish an early advantage to progress. Viking, on the other hand, has also performed well, with a similar record of three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. However, their form has been slightly less stable compared to Stuttgart, which could impact their confidence heading into this match. Competing in the Champions League presents a different level of intensity, and how they adjust to that challenge will be key. The model gives VfB Stuttgart a strong win probability, reflecting their recent form and home advantage. However, one caveat is that if Viking can capitalize on counter-attacks and Stuttgart's defensive lapses, they could pose a significant threat. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.0% probability.
VfB Stuttgart have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 VfB Stuttgart win as the most likely scoreline at 11.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature VfB Stuttgart clean sheets, in line with their 25% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. VfB Stuttgart are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
VfB Stuttgart vs Viking| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.25 | 6.60 | 8.20 | 1.25 | 3.80 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 1.28 | 6.55 | 10.25 | 1.23 | 3.64 | 1.53 | 2.34 | |
| 1.25 | 6.50 | 10.00 | 1.22 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 2.40 | |
| 1.25 | 6.76 | 10.43 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.27 | 6.28 | 8.10 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.50 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 1.25 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 1.25 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.30 | 6.65 | 10.40 | 1.23 | 3.64 | 1.53 | 2.37 | |
| 1.24 | 6.75 | 10.50 | 1.25 | 4.00 | 1.54 | 2.40 | |
| 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.50 | 1.25 | 3.80 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 1.29 | 6.60 | 10.25 | 1.26 | 3.85 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
Superbet | 1.27 | 6.70 | 8.50 | 1.26 | 3.85 | 1.56 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 1.22 | 7.00 | 10.50 | 1.22 | 3.90 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (VfB Stuttgart leads 1-0)VfB Stuttgart hold the edge in this fixture, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings with 0 draws and 0 Viking wins. The record points to a tie VfB Stuttgart have controlled for years, though the draws show Viking have at times kept it tight.
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WD |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 34 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 | Viking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WD |
| 36 |  Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonVfB Stuttgart have won 10 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat 1. FC Köln 4-1 and beat Everton 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 9L from the last 32 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Viking have won 11 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Viking 1-1 and beat Brodd 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 24W 6D 4L from the last 34 games (71% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedVfB Stuttgart4-2-3-1Confirmed
Viking4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
12 playersVfB Stuttgart7
Viking5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
N. Minakovic has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by N. Minakovic to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
VfB Stuttgart have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Viking 7.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
VfB Stuttgart have generated 1.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. VfB Stuttgart player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
