Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Sandefjord with a projected scoreline of 3-0. As the current league leaders, Bodo/Glimt have demonstrated remarkable form this season, accumulating 44 points from 18 matches. Their impressive record of 14 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses has been underpinned by a strong goal difference of +33, with 47 goals scored and just 14 conceded. They have won their last five matches, showcasing their dominance and scoring ability. In contrast, Sandefjord sits in 12th place, with 19 points from 18 games. Their season has been challenging, with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses. While they have managed to secure 2 wins in their last five matches, their overall goal tally of 15 goals scored against 23 goals conceded reflects their difficulties in both attacking and defending. This puts them at a significant disadvantage against the league leaders. The model output indicates a high probability of a Bodo/Glimt victory, with a projected score of 3-0. However, one caveat is that if Sandefjord can improve their defensive organization and exploit any potential lapses in Bodo/Glimt's play, they may pose a threat. The full methodology behind this prediction, based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has employed an in-house model to derive these insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.6% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 78% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 12.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Bodo/Glimt clean sheets, in line with their 42% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.15 | 7.50 | 14.00 | 1.25 | 3.95 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 1.13 | 8.40 | 15.25 | 1.21 | 3.62 | 1.74 | 1.95 | |
| 1.12 | 8.50 | 15.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.17 | 9.21 | 11.72 | 1.26 | 3.88 | — | — | |
| 1.15 | 8.00 | 13.00 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.14 | 7.50 | 12.00 | 1.22 | 4.20 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.14 | 9.05 | 16.50 | 1.21 | 3.62 | 1.74 | 1.98 | |
| 1.16 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 1.18 | 4.20 | 1.61 | 2.12 | |
Betano | 1.18 | 7.20 | 12.00 | 1.25 | 3.70 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 7-1)Bodo/Glimt hold the edge in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with 1 draws and 1 Sandefjord win. The record points to a tie Bodo/Glimt have controlled for years, though the draws show Sandefjord have at times kept it tight.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 |  Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 | DDWLL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBodo/Glimt have won 18 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Bodo/Glimt 4-2 and beat Bodo/Glimt 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 31W 5D 4L from the last 40 games (78% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Sandefjord have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Eidanger 0-15 and beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 10L from the last 31 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBodo/Glimt
No reported absences
Sandefjord
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Bodo/Glimt have averaged 6.2 corners per match at home; Sandefjord 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 1.98 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 78% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
