Start vs Brann Prediction, Tips & Odds
Start vs Brann
Match Preview
The model favours Brann to win against Start, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Brann currently sits in 5th place in the Eliteserien standings, having accumulated 26 points from 18 matches. Their season has been characterized by a strong attack that has yielded 36 goals, while their defence has been relatively solid, conceding 27. With three wins and two draws in their last five matches, Brann is clearly in better form and looks to maintain their push for a higher league position. In contrast, Start finds themselves in a challenging position at 16th place with just 13 points from 18 matches. Their season has been marked by struggles, particularly in defence, where they have conceded 39 goals, leading to a goal difference of -19. Although they managed to secure three wins in their last five matches, two of these victories were offset by losses, highlighting inconsistencies that could hinder their performance against a stronger opponent like Brann. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Brann, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market indicator suggests that Brann is likely to win by a narrow margin. However, one potential caveat is that if Start can capitalize on any defensive lapses from Brann, they could snatch a surprise result. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.8% probability.
Brann have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Brann are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Start vs Brann| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.95 | 1.55 | 2.40 | 1.48 | 2.45 | |
| 3.34 | 3.88 | 1.94 | 1.55 | 2.40 | 1.49 | 2.40 | |
| 3.30 | 3.90 | 1.91 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.45 | 2.55 | |
| 3.46 | 4.11 | 1.99 | 1.58 | 2.47 | — | — | |
| 2.95 | 3.26 | 1.99 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.25 | 3.75 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.95 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 3.42 | 3.97 | 1.99 | 1.57 | 2.43 | 1.49 | 2.44 | |
| 3.25 | 3.80 | 1.98 | 1.45 | 2.50 | 1.43 | 2.55 | |
| 3.20 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.53 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.98 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.91 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Brann leads 6-0)In the last eight matches between Start and Brann, Brann has won six times, with two draws and no victories for Start. The scorelines indicate a one-sided rivalry, as Brann has frequently secured narrow victories, with five matches decided by a single goal. The two draws suggest that Start has managed to hold Brann at bay on occasion, but overall, they have struggled to compete. Since Start's last win against Brann, they have not managed to secure a victory in this match-up.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | 34 | 50 | WWDWL |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 50 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 38 | WLLDL |
| 4 |  Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 36 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 33 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 | LWWLD |
| 7 | Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 29 | WLLDW |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 | WLWLD |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 | LLWDL |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 | LWLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonStart have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Brann 2-1 and beat Brann 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 18L from the last 36 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Brann have won 9 of their last 23 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Brann 2-1 and beat Os 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 8D 17L from the last 44 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
9 playersStart4
Brann5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
O. Nilsen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by O. Nilsen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Start have averaged 4.1 corners per match at home; Brann 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Brann have generated 1.22 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brann player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
