Viking vs Kristiansund BK Prediction, Tips & Odds
Viking vs Kristiansund BK
Match Preview
The model favours Viking to win against Kristiansund BK, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Viking is currently positioned second in the league, demonstrating strong form throughout the season with 14 wins from 18 matches. Their impressive goal difference of +24, with 42 goals scored and only 18 conceded, indicates their offensive and defensive strengths, making them one of the top contenders this season. In contrast, Kristiansund BK sits in 14th place, having struggled to find consistent form with only four wins from 18 matches. Their goal tally of 17 against 29 conceded highlights their difficulties, both in attack and defense. With a goal difference of -12, they face significant challenges against a high-performing Viking side. The model outputs a win probability of 70% for Viking, with a projected score of 3-1. However, a potential caveat could be Kristiansund's ability to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Viking, which could make the match closer than expected. For a comprehensive understanding of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.7% probability.
Viking have been the stronger side, winning 74% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Viking win as the most likely scoreline at 12.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Viking clean sheets, in line with their 34% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Viking are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Viking vs Kristiansund BK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.25 | 5.80 | 10.75 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
| 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.00 | 1.32 | 2.89 | 1.61 | 2.15 | |
| 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.00 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 1.34 | 6.19 | 7.69 | 1.40 | 3.04 | — | — | |
| 1.25 | 5.13 | 6.76 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.00 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 1.36 | 5.75 | 6.50 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.32 | 5.96 | 8.20 | 1.32 | 2.89 | 1.61 | 2.18 | |
| 1.25 | 6.10 | 9.50 | 1.30 | 3.15 | 1.66 | 2.05 | |
| 1.22 | 6.00 | 9.50 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 1.35 | 5.40 | 7.00 | 1.38 | 2.90 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.50 | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Viking leads 8-2)In the last 10 matches between Viking and Kristiansund BK, Viking has won 8 times, while Kristiansund BK has secured 2 victories, with no draws. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable trend for Viking, as they have achieved several narrow wins, such as 1-0 and 2-1, but also some heavier victories, including a 5-2 win. Kristiansund BK's last win against Viking came in March 2023, suggesting they have struggled to maintain consistency in this matchup. Overall, the record reflects a significant advantage for Viking in their recent encounters.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | 34 | 50 | WWDWL |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 50 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 38 | WLLDL |
| 4 |  Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 36 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 33 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 | LWWLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 | WLWLD |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 | LWLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonViking have won 16 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Viking 3-0 and beat Viking 8-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 28W 5D 5L from the last 38 games (74% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kristiansund BK have won 4 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include beat Brattvåg 1-2 and lost to Viking 8-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 17L from the last 35 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedViking4-3-3Confirmed
Kristiansund BK4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
7 playersViking6
Kristiansund BK1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
E. Eskas has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Viking have averaged 8.1 corners per match at home; Kristiansund BK 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Viking have generated 1.74 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 74% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Viking player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
