Vikingur Gota vs Stjarnan Prediction, Tips & Odds
Vikingur Gota vs Stjarnan
Match Preview
The model favours Vikingur Gota to win against Stjarnan, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Vikingur Gota has shown a solid performance in their recent matches, securing two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five fixtures. This form suggests a competitive edge as they navigate this crucial stage of the Europa Conference League. On the other hand, Stjarnan has also displayed resilience with a similar record of two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. However, their slight inconsistency may be a concern as they face a challenging opponent in Vikingur Gota. Both teams are evenly matched, but Vikingur Gota's recent form could give them the upper hand. The model assigns a win probability to Vikingur Gota, reinforcing their status as the favourite in this matchup. One potential caveat to consider is the unpredictability of knockout stage matches, where a single mistake could shift the outcome. For a detailed look into the prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team is dedicated to providing insightful predictions based on comprehensive data analysis.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.1% probability.
Vikingur Gota have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Vikingur Gota are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Vikingur Gota vs Stjarnan| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.80 | 3.90 | 2.05 | 1.48 | 2.50 | 1.42 | 2.55 | |
| 2.78 | 3.64 | 2.25 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 2.63 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.68 | 3.47 | 2.25 | 1.49 | 2.43 | — | — | |
| 2.58 | 3.26 | 2.09 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.25 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 2.88 | 4.00 | 1.95 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.79 | 3.64 | 2.27 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
| 2.70 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.47 | 2.48 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
Betano | 2.95 | 3.85 | 2.07 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
Superbet | 2.90 | 3.75 | 2.12 | 1.48 | 2.47 | 1.45 | 2.57 |
BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.70 | 2.20 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Stjarnan leads 1-0)Stjarnan leads the head-to-head record with 1 win against Vikingur Gota, who has not yet secured a victory in their encounters. The only match played ended with Stjarnan winning 3-1, indicating a relatively clear victory rather than a tightly contested game. With just one match in the history between these teams, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions, but the scoreline suggests that Stjarnan has been the stronger side in this fixture.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonVikingur Gota have won 2 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Vikingur Gota 3-3 and beat Vikingur Gota 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 2L from the last 11 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Stjarnan have won 1 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Stjarnan 5-0 and drew with Vikingur Gota 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 4D 5L from the last 13 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersVikingur Gota
No reported absences
Stjarnan
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Koppel has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Koppel to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Vikingur Gota average 2.0 goals per match at home; Stjarnan 1.8 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Vikingur Gota have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 45% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. Vikingur Gota player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
