Vllaznia Shkodër vs Malisheva Prediction, Tips & Odds
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Malisheva
Match Preview
The model favours Vllaznia Shkodër to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Vllaznia Shkodër has struggled recently, with a form summary of four losses and one draw in their last five matches. This poor run has contributed to a challenging season, and while the exact league position is not available, their current form indicates they are in need of a turnaround to regain confidence and momentum. On the other hand, Malisheva has demonstrated better form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This improved performance suggests they are finding their rhythm and could pose a serious challenge. However, the lack of specific season stats makes it difficult to fully assess their standing relative to Vllaznia Shkodër. The model gives Vllaznia Shkodër a win probability of 52.8%, with a 24.9% chance of a draw and a 22.3% chance for Malisheva to win. The expectation of over 2.5 goals at 56.1% and both teams to score at 56.3% indicates a potentially open match. One caveat is Vllaznia Shkodër's current form, which could hinder their performance despite being favoured. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.4% probability.
Vllaznia Shkodër have been the stronger side, winning 18% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Vllaznia Shkodër are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Malisheva| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.88 | 1.95 | 1.77 | 1.73 | 1.93 | |
| 2.28 | 3.38 | 2.90 | 1.96 | 1.80 | 1.74 | 1.95 | |
| 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 2.23 | 3.37 | 2.78 | 1.98 | 1.78 | — | — | |
| 2.27 | 3.01 | 2.65 | 2.02 | 1.76 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.80 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.35 | 3.20 | 2.88 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 2.30 | 3.38 | 2.92 | 1.96 | 1.80 | — | — | |
| 2.08 | 3.55 | 3.15 | 1.80 | 1.88 | 1.67 | 2.04 | |
| 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
Betano | 2.27 | 3.30 | 2.95 | 1.93 | 1.82 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
Superbet | 2.32 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 1.95 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 1.92 | 1.75 | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Malisheva leads 1-0)In their only past meeting, Malisheva leads the head-to-head record with one victory over Vllaznia Shkodër, winning 1-0. This match indicates a tight contest, with Malisheva securing a narrow win. The scoreline reflects a low-scoring pattern, suggesting that both teams may struggle to find the net against each other. Vllaznia Shkodër has yet to claim a victory in this matchup, which could influence their approach in future encounters.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonVllaznia Shkodër have won 2 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Malisheva 2-1 and drew with Dečić 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 2W 1D 8L from the last 11 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Malisheva have won 2 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Malisheva 2-1 and lost to Llapi 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 1D 4L from the last 11 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersVllaznia Shkodër
No reported absences
Malisheva
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
G. Avazashvili has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by G. Avazashvili to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Vllaznia Shkodër average 1.1 goals per match at home; Malisheva 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Vllaznia Shkodër have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 18% of their matches and averaging 1.1 goals per game. Vllaznia Shkodër player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
