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Vojvodina vs Ajax Prediction, Tips & Odds

Vojvodina vs Ajax

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Vojvodina
LLWLL
1 - 4
Referee: M. Nogueira
Ajax
WWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.86
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 (implied 58.9%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 61.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.63). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (61.4% vs 58.9%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Ajax to win against Vojvodina, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Ajax has shown a relatively stronger form this season, highlighted by their recent performances, which include two wins and two draws in their last five matches. This consistency in results, despite a recent loss, positions them well as they continue their campaign in the UEFA Europa Conference League. On the other hand, Vojvodina has struggled lately, with only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. This disappointing form may impact their confidence as they face a historically stronger opponent in Ajax. The challenges they have faced recently could hinder their ability to perform at their best in this crucial match. According to the model's output, Ajax has a higher win probability, reflecting their stronger recent form and overall stature in European football. However, it is important to note that if Vojvodina can improve their performance and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Ajax, they may pose a greater threat than anticipated. For detailed insights into the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Vojvodina Win26%5.14
Draw21%4.00
Ajax Win53%1.55
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7355.0%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7054.6%

Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Vojvodina 0-1 Ajax
6.9014.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Ajax -0.0
1.2147%

Ajax have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-1
6.90
14.7%
1-1
7.13
14.3%
0-2
7.05
14.3%
1-2
7.27
13.9%
0-3
10.66
9.5%
1-3
10.78
9.4%

Our model projects a 0-1 Ajax win as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Vojvodina
-0.0
3.84
Ajax
+0.0
1.21
Vojvodina
-0.5
4.90
Ajax
+0.5
1.52
Vojvodina
-1.5
10.50
Ajax
+1.5
2.75

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Ajax are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Vojvodina vs Ajax
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
5.503.951.531.702.101.731.93
Marathonbet
5.104.151.561.662.161.692.02
Betfair
5.003.801.551.652.101.652.10
Pinnacle
5.254.231.571.682.21
SBO
4.843.521.471.861.90
William Hill
5.003.901.571.672.10
Bet365
4.334.101.571.672.151.831.83
1xBet
5.034.151.581.662.161.692.05
Unibet
6.003.801.551.721.971.771.91
Betano
5.104.201.571.702.121.751.95
Superbet
5.004.101.561.751.971.831.87
BetVictor
5.504.101.531.642.081.702.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
34.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XVojvodina or Draw
47%2.31
12Vojvodina or Ajax
79%1.19
X2Draw or Ajax
74%1.12

Head to Head

Last 2 Meetings (Ajax leads 2-0)
0 Vojvodina0 Draw2 Ajax
Aug 24
Vojvodina
1-3
Ajax
UEFA Europa League
Jul 24
Ajax
1-0
Vojvodina
UEFA Europa League

In the last two matches between Vojvodina and Ajax, Ajax has won both encounters, with a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 wins for Ajax. The scorelines indicate that Ajax has been the stronger side, winning 3-1 and 1-0. While Ajax secured a narrow victory in their most recent match, the 3-1 result suggests a more commanding performance in the earlier fixture. Vojvodina has yet to secure a win against Ajax, highlighting a clear advantage for Ajax in these recent meetings.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
VojvodinaAjax
1.73Goals p.g.1.57
1.33Goals conceded p.g.1.04
33%Clean sheets36%
47%Win rate39%
3.07Avg goals in match2.61
xG per game1.64
xGA per game0.01
47%Possession %54%
3.3Shots on target / game5.0
3.3Corners per game4.2
Vojvodina
Recent Form

Vojvodina have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Vojvodina 1-4 and beat Vojvodina 4-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 5L from the last 15 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: VojvodinaAll competitions
26 Jul
FK Crvena Zvezda
3-1
Vojvodina
Super Liga
23 Jul
Vojvodina
1-4
Ajax
UEFA Europa Conference League
19 Jul
Vojvodina
4-0
OFK Beograd
Super Liga
16 Jul
Ferencvarosi TC
3-0
Vojvodina
UEFA Europa League
09 Jul
Vojvodina
1-2
Ferencvarosi TC
UEFA Europa League
02 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
0-3
Vojvodina
Friendlies Clubs
7
Win
47%
3
Draw
20%
5
Lost
33%
Ajax
Recent Form

Ajax have won 4 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat Vojvodina 1-4 and drew with Heerenveen 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 11D 6L from the last 28 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AjaxAll competitions
26 Jul
Ajax
2-1
Burnley
Friendlies Clubs
23 Jul
Vojvodina
1-4
Ajax
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Ajax
1-0
Olympiakos Piraeus
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
Ajax
1-1
VfL Bochum
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Ajax
1-0
AEK Larnaca
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Ajax
1-3
Panathinaikos
Friendlies Clubs
11
Win
39%
11
Draw
39%
6
Lost
21%

Lineups

Confirmed

Vojvodina4-3-3Confirmed

22Lazar NikolićDEF
5Đorđe CrnomarkovićDEF
23Lucas BarrosDEF
6Siniša TanjgaDEF
27Petar SukačevFWD
99Nardin MulahusejnovićFWD
77Lazar RanđelovićFWD
12Dragan RosićGK
35Ifet ĐakovacMID
18Njegoš PetrovićMID
10Dejan ZukićMID
44Hamza RedžićDEF
16Mihai ButeanDEF
21Milan KolarevićFWD
55Milutin VidosavljevićFWD
7Stefan MitrovićFWD
25Lazar PeranovićFWD
33Vuk BoškanFWD
1Matija GočmanacGK
11Marko MladenovićMID
20Dragan KokanovićMID
4Marko PoletanovićMID

Ajax4-3-3Confirmed

5Owen WijndalDEF
30Aaron BouwmanDEF
2Lucas RosaDEF
17Daley BlindDEF
23Steven BerghuisFWD
11Mika GodtsFWD
9Kasper DolbergFWD
26Maarten PaesGK
18Davy KlaassenMID
6Youri RegeerMID
10Oscar GloukhMID
15Youri BaasDEF
12Caio HenriqueDEF
3Anton GaaeiDEF
38Marcos LeonardoFWD
20Oliver Valaker EdvardsenFWD
19Don-Angelo KonaduFWD
7Maher CarrizoFWD
52Paul ReversonGK
22Joeri HeerkensGK
24Jorthy MokioMID
67Mohamed AbdallaMID
68Abdellah OuazaneMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Vojvodina

No reported absences

Ajax

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.73 (55%)
Value Bets
Vojvodina Win5.14 (26.3%)
Ajax Win1.55 (53.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.70 (54.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.08 (45.4%)
BTTS No1.98 (45%)
Speculative
Draw4.00 (20.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. Nogueira has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Nogueira to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Vojvodina have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Ajax 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Ajax have generated 1.64 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Ajax player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.