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Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction, Tips & Odds

Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg

BundesligaRegular Season - 2
Wolfsberger AC
#3 · Bundesliga
WWWDD
1 - 1
Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsberg (9,000)
Referee: I. Simsek
Red Bull Salzburg
#5 · Bundesliga
DWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 (implied 65.4%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 67.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.47). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (67.9% vs 65.4%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Wolfsberger AC to win this match against Red Bull Salzburg, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Wolfsberger AC is currently enjoying a strong run of form, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. This unbeaten streak highlights their resilience and ability to secure points consistently, which could be crucial as they face a traditionally stronger opponent. On the other hand, Red Bull Salzburg has had a mixed bag of results recently, with three wins but also two losses in their last five games. This inconsistency may undermine their confidence heading into this match. Their recent form suggests that they are struggling to maintain momentum, which could be a concern as they look to challenge Wolfsberger AC. According to the model output, Wolfsberger AC has a win probability of 55%, while Red Bull Salzburg's chances stand at 25%. One key market to watch is the over/under on goals, which is likely set around 2.5. However, a potential caveat for Wolfsberger AC could be the pressure of facing a team with a strong historical record, which might affect their performance. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Wolfsberger AC Win36%3.63
Draw22%3.72
Red Bull Salzburg Win43%1.90
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5361.0%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5859.3%

Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Red Bull Salzburg
7.0414.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Red Bull Salzburg -0.0
1.4437%

Red Bull Salzburg have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
7.04
14.3%
1-2
7.83
12.9%
0-1
8.93
11.2%
0-2
10.06
10.0%
2-2
11.28
9.0%
2-1
11.35
8.9%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Wolfsberger AC
-0.0
2.71
Red Bull Salzburg
+0.0
1.44
Wolfsberger AC
-0.3
2.80
Red Bull Salzburg
+0.3
1.65
Wolfsberger AC
-0.5
3.35
Red Bull Salzburg
+0.5
1.86
Wolfsberger AC
-1.5
7.50
Red Bull Salzburg
+1.5
3.20

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Red Bull Salzburg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.653.751.901.572.351.482.40
Marathonbet
3.703.741.871.592.311.522.33
Betfair
3.703.901.851.572.251.572.25
Pinnacle
3.823.891.941.622.39
SBO
3.343.471.92
William Hill
3.503.601.911.572.30
Bet365
3.753.751.911.572.351.532.38
1xBet
3.683.741.891.592.311.522.37
Unibet
3.553.651.911.572.201.502.32
888Sport
3.603.601.851.622.201.572.30
Betano
3.703.801.871.602.301.552.30
Superbet
3.553.651.921.562.271.522.37
BetVictor
3.603.801.931.562.221.502.40

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
59.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XWolfsberger AC or Draw
58%1.86
12Wolfsberger AC or Red Bull Salzburg
78%1.23
X2Draw or Red Bull Salzburg
64%1.25

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Red Bull Salzburg leads 6-2)
2 Wolfsberger AC2 Draw6 Red Bull Salzburg
01 Feb
Wolfsberger AC
0-1
Red Bull Salzburg
Cup
Dec 25
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
Sept 25
Wolfsberger AC
3-1
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
Apr 25
Wolfsberger AC
2-1
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
Apr 25
Red Bull Salzburg
1-1
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
Mar 25
Red Bull Salzburg
1-0
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
Oct 24
Wolfsberger AC
0-0
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
Dec 23
Red Bull Salzburg
1-0
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
Aug 23
Wolfsberger AC
1-2
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
Nov 22
Wolfsberger AC
1-2
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga

In the last 10 matches between Wolfsberger AC and Red Bull Salzburg, the record shows 2 wins for Wolfsberger AC, 2 draws, and 6 wins for Red Bull Salzburg. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, yet Salzburg has generally been more successful, with several narrow victories. There have been a few close encounters, such as the 2-1 wins for Salzburg and a 1-1 draw, but overall, Red Bull Salzburg has managed to secure more wins, including multiple 1-0 results. Wolfsberger AC last won against Salzburg in 2025, suggesting a recent period of dominance by their opponents.

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Lask Linz
22005056
WW
2
Rapid Vienna
22003126
WW
3
Wolfsberger AC
21104134
DW
4
Sturm Graz
21103124
WD
5
Red Bull Salzburg
21102114
DW
6
SCR Altach
21013213
WL
10
WSG Wattens
201124-21
LD
11
TSV Hartberg
200203-30
LL
12
Austria Vienna
200205-50
LL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Wolfsberger ACHome
1W1D0L
2 playedGF 4 · GA 12.00 pts/game
Red Bull SalzburgAway
0W1D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 11.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Wolfsberger ACRed Bull Salzburg
2.07Goals p.g.1.81
1.24Goals conceded p.g.1.06
34%Clean sheets29%
45%Win rate48%
3.31Avg goals in match2.87
0.83xG per game1.46
-0.37xGA per game0.08
46%Possession %49%
3.0Shots on target / game4.2
1.0Corners per game2.8
Wolfsberger AC
Recent Form

Wolfsberger AC have won 8 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Wolfsberger AC 6-1 and drew with Wolfsberger AC 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 9L from the last 29 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Wolfsberger ACAll competitions
24 Jul
Lauterach
1-5
Wolfsberger AC
Cup
20 Jul
Velden
0-4
Wolfsberger AC
Friendlies Clubs
17 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
6-1
SV Kapfenberg
Friendlies Clubs
13 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
1-1
Hradec Králové
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
3-3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Friendlies Clubs
03 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
8-2
Admira Wacker
Friendlies Clubs
13
Win
45%
7
Draw
24%
9
Lost
31%
Red Bull Salzburg
Recent Form

Red Bull Salzburg have won 7 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Red Bull Salzburg 1-1 and beat Oberwart 1-7.

Overall, the wider run reads 15W 5D 11L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Red Bull SalzburgAll competitions
09 Aug
Wolfsberger AC
1-1
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
06 Aug
Red Bull Salzburg
1-0
Pafos
UEFA Europa League
01 Aug
Red Bull Salzburg
1-0
TSV Hartberg
Bundesliga
25 Jul
Oberwart
1-7
Red Bull Salzburg
Cup
18 Jul
Energie Cottbus
0-5
Red Bull Salzburg
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
Red Bull Salzburg
1-2
Başakşehir
Friendlies Clubs
15
Win
48%
5
Draw
16%
11
Lost
35%

Lineups

Confirmed

Wolfsberger AC3-4-2-1Confirmed

37Nicolas WimmerDEF
15Cheick Mamadou DiabateDEF
6Raffael BehounekDEF
17Marco SchabauerFWD
10Donis AvdijajFWD
9Giacomo VrioniFWD
12Nikolas PolsterGK
11Aaron Sky SchwarzMID
34Emmanuel AgyemangMID
30Marco SulznerMID
31Fabian WohlmuthMID
77René RennerDEF
35Matteo KitzDEF
32Markus PinkFWD
49Sankara KaramokoFWD
1Lukas GütlbauerGK
19Otar MamageishviliMID
8Simon PiesingerMID
7Luca HasslerMID
20Thorsten SchrieblMID

Red Bull Salzburg4-2-3-1Confirmed

44Kévin BomaDEF
13Frans KrätzigDEF
21Tim DrexlerDEF
18Nikolas VeratschnigDEF
19Karim KonatéFWD
52Christian ZawieschitzkyGK
8Sota KitanoMID
33Aboubacar CamaraMID
15Bartosz MazurekMID
9Haris TabakovićMID
14Maurits KjaergaardMID
47Valentin ZabranskyDEF
39Leandro MorgallaDEF
4John MellbergDEF
31Dominik SchmidDEF
11Yorbe VertessenFWD
29Yerwin SulbaranFWD
23Damir RedzicFWD
1Christian FrüchtlGK
32Abubakr BarryMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Wolfsberger AC

No reported absences

Red Bull Salzburg

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.58 (59.3%)
Both Teams Score1.53 (61%)
Value Bets
Wolfsberger AC Win3.63 (35.8%)
Red Bull Salzburg Win1.90 (42.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.29 (40.7%)
BTTS No2.34 (39%)
Speculative
Draw3.72 (21.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

I. Simsek has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by I. Simsek to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Wolfsberger AC have averaged 1.0 corners per match at home; Red Bull Salzburg 2.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 2.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Red Bull Salzburg have generated 1.46 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Red Bull Salzburg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.