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WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction, Tips & Odds

WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg

BundesligaRegular Season - 3
WSG Wattens
#5 · Bundesliga
WWLDW
0 - 3
Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck (16,008)
Referee: P. Ciochirca
Red Bull Salzburg
#2 · Bundesliga
WWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.48
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.43 (implied 70.0%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 72.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.38). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (72.5% vs 70.0%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Red Bull Salzburg to win against WSG Wattens, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Salzburg currently holds a stronger position in the league, reflecting their overall performance this season. With three wins in their last five matches, they have demonstrated a capacity to secure points, despite experiencing two recent losses that may indicate some inconsistency. On the other hand, WSG Wattens has struggled, managing only one win in their last five matches and recording two draws and two losses. This form suggests challenges in both defense and attack, which could hinder their ability to compete effectively against a team like Salzburg. The lack of consistent results may leave them vulnerable in this matchup. The model gives Red Bull Salzburg a significant win probability, reinforcing their status as the favourite. However, it is essential to note that if Wattens can leverage their home advantage and disrupt Salzburg's rhythm, they could pose a challenge. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
WSG Wattens Win24%8.07
Draw17%5.15
Red Bull Salzburg Win59%1.32
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6958.0%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.4363.8%

Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
WSG Wattens 0-2 Red Bull Salzburg
7.3613.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Red Bull Salzburg -0.0
1.0853%

Red Bull Salzburg have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-2
7.36
13.7%
1-2
7.94
12.7%
0-1
8.76
11.5%
0-3
8.86
11.4%
1-3
9.46
10.7%
1-1
9.81
10.3%

Our model projects a 0-2 Red Bull Salzburg win as the most likely scoreline at 13.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
WSG Wattens
-0.0
6.27
Red Bull Salzburg
+0.0
1.08
WSG Wattens
-0.5
6.40
Red Bull Salzburg
+0.5
1.30
WSG Wattens
-1.5
12.00
Red Bull Salzburg
+1.5
1.91

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Red Bull Salzburg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
9.005.001.301.482.601.702.00
Marathonbet
8.205.351.311.402.571.702.01
Betfair
7.505.001.301.402.751.652.10
Pinnacle
8.415.791.341.462.82
SBO
6.865.131.31
William Hill
7.505.001.331.702.05
Bet365
9.004.751.301.442.701.752.00
1xBet
8.105.351.321.402.571.702.04
Unibet
7.504.901.321.442.551.652.04
888Sport
7.505.001.331.402.701.702.05
Betano
8.255.001.331.472.571.722.00
BetVictor
9.005.501.301.402.751.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
83.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
63.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
44.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XWSG Wattens or Draw
42%3.22
12WSG Wattens or Red Bull Salzburg
83%1.13
X2Draw or Red Bull Salzburg
76%1.07

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Red Bull Salzburg leads 7-1)
1 WSG Wattens2 Draw7 Red Bull Salzburg
Nov 25
Red Bull Salzburg
2-3
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
Oct 25
Red Bull Salzburg
3-1
WSG Wattens
Cup
Sept 25
WSG Wattens
1-2
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
Feb 25
Red Bull Salzburg
1-1
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
Oct 24
Red Bull Salzburg
3-0
WSG Wattens
Cup
Sept 24
WSG Wattens
0-0
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
Nov 23
WSG Wattens
0-2
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
Aug 23
Red Bull Salzburg
3-0
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
Feb 23
WSG Wattens
1-3
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
Sept 22
Red Bull Salzburg
2-0
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga

In the last 10 matches between WSG Wattens and Red Bull Salzburg, WSG Wattens has won 1, drawn 2, and lost 7. This record indicates a clear advantage for Red Bull Salzburg, particularly highlighted by their ability to secure heavy wins, including two 3-0 victories. The scorelines suggest a mix of close contests, like the recent 3-2 win for Wattens, and dominant performances by Salzburg. WSG Wattens' last win against Salzburg came in 2025, underlining the challenge they face in this matchup. Overall, the historical data points to a strong upper hand for Red Bull Salzburg.

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Lask Linz
55001521315
WWWWW
2
Red Bull Salzburg
54101431113
WWWDW
3
Rapid Vienna
5401157812
LWWWW
4
Sturm Graz
52216518
LDWWD
5
WSG Wattens
52127707
WWLLD
6
TSV Hartberg
520358-36
WWLLL
10
Grazer AK
5113213-114
DLLWL
11
SCR Altach
510448-43
LLLWL
12
Austria Vienna
5104310-73
LLWLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
WSG WattensHome
0W1D1L
2 playedGF 1 · GA 40.50 pts/game
Red Bull SalzburgAway
1W1D0L
2 playedGF 4 · GA 12.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
WSG WattensRed Bull Salzburg
1.83Goals p.g.2.08
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1
33%Clean sheets35%
33%Win rate57%
3.33Avg goals in match3.08
1.69xG per game1.83
0.40xGA per game0.04
44%Possession %55%
4.0Shots on target / game5.7
5.5Corners per game4.2
WSG Wattens
Recent Form

WSG Wattens have won 4 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to WSG Wattens 0-3 and drew with WSG Wattens 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 12L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: WSG WattensAll competitions
02 Sept
Austria Vienna
0-1
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
28 Aug
Austria Lustenau
0-4
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
16 Aug
WSG Wattens
0-3
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
01 Aug
WSG Wattens
1-1
Sturm Graz
Bundesliga
24 Jul
Wieselburg
0-6
WSG Wattens
Cup
17 Jul
Hertha BSC
3-2
WSG Wattens
Friendlies Clubs
10
Win
33%
8
Draw
27%
12
Lost
40%
Red Bull Salzburg
Recent Form

Red Bull Salzburg have won 10 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Red Bull Salzburg 0-3 and beat Mjallby AIF 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 11L from the last 37 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Red Bull SalzburgAll competitions
06 Sept
SKN ST. Polten
0-3
Red Bull Salzburg
Cup
02 Sept
Red Bull Salzburg
5-1
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
30 Aug
Red Bull Salzburg
4-1
Austria Vienna
Bundesliga
27 Aug
Red Bull Salzburg
3-0
Mjallby AIF
UEFA Europa League
20 Aug
Mjallby AIF
0-1
Red Bull Salzburg
UEFA Europa League
16 Aug
WSG Wattens
0-3
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
21
Win
57%
5
Draw
14%
11
Lost
30%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

WSG Wattens

No reported absences

Red Bull Salzburg

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Red Bull Salzburg Win1.32 (58.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.43 (63.8%)
Both Teams Score1.69 (58%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.66 (36.2%)
BTTS No2.03 (42%)
Speculative
WSG Wattens Win8.07 (24.2%)
Draw5.15 (17.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

P. Ciochirca has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

WSG Wattens have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Red Bull Salzburg 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Red Bull Salzburg have generated 1.83 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 57% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Red Bull Salzburg player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.