Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi Prediction, Tips & Odds
Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi
Match Preview
The model favours Charleroi to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Zulte Waregem. Charleroi is currently leading the Jupiler Pro League, sitting in first place with four wins from four matches. They have scored nine goals while conceding only two, giving them a strong goal difference of seven. Their solid start to the season indicates a well-rounded team performance, showcasing both offensive firepower and defensive resilience. Zulte Waregem occupies a respectable fourth position in the league, having secured two wins and two draws from their opening four matches. They have scored eight goals and conceded three, resulting in a goal difference of five. While their form has been steady, with two wins and three draws in their last five matches, they will need to step up their game to challenge the league leaders effectively. The model gives Charleroi a win probability that reflects their strong start, while Zulte Waregem will need to find a way to disrupt Charleroi's perfect record. One caveat for Charleroi is that they are coming off a loss in their last match, which could affect their momentum. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses fixtures based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.1% probability.
Zulte Waregem have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Zulte Waregem are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 2.71 | 3.24 | 2.53 | 1.85 | 1.92 | 1.64 | 2.10 | |
| 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 2.82 | 3.36 | 2.63 | 1.92 | 1.97 | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.08 | 2.43 | 1.70 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.78 | 3.32 | 2.59 | 1.88 | 1.94 | 1.64 | 2.13 | |
| 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 1.68 | 2.10 | 1.50 | 2.35 | |
Betano | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.57 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.22 |
BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.81 | 1.86 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Charleroi leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between Zulte Waregem and Charleroi, Charleroi has won 4 times, Zulte Waregem has won 3 times, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including three games decided by a single goal. Notably, Charleroi's victories include a 3-0 win, which reflects their capability for heavier scoring. The last win for Zulte Waregem was in March 2026, suggesting that they have struggled to secure recent victories against Charleroi. Overall, the fixtures reveal a balanced but slightly more favorable record for Charleroi.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Charleroi | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 | Zulte Waregem | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 | WWWDD |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 17 |  OH Leuven | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonZulte Waregem have won 9 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Zulte Waregem 4-0 and beat Zulte Waregem 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 4D 9L from the last 28 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Charleroi have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Kortrijk 1-3 and drew with Lens 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 13L from the last 30 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedZulte Waregem4-3-2-1Confirmed
Charleroi4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersZulte Waregem
No reported absences
Charleroi
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Zulte Waregem average 2.1 goals per match at home; Charleroi 1.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Zulte Waregem have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 54% of their matches and averaging 2.1 goals per game. Zulte Waregem player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
