Aberdeen vs Rangers Prediction, Tips & Odds
Aberdeen vs Rangers
Match Preview
The model favours Aberdeen to win against Rangers, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Aberdeen currently occupies 8th place in the Premiership, having secured 3 points from their first two matches with a record of one win and one loss. Their recent form has been strong, winning four of their last five matches, which indicates they are in good shape heading into this fixture. The team's goal difference stands at -1, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded, suggesting they have been competitive but need to tighten their defense. On the other hand, Rangers sit in 9th place, with just one point from their first two games, having drawn once and lost once. Their recent form has been concerning, as they have only managed to win one of their last five outings, with two draws and two losses. Like Aberdeen, Rangers also have a goal difference of -1, scoring 2 goals and conceding 3. This struggle to find consistency could hinder their performance against a determined Aberdeen side. The model output indicates a win probability of 55% for Aberdeen, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is that Aberdeen has a 60% chance of winning this match based on the data. However, if Rangers can turn their form around and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Aberdeen, they may pose a threat. The full method behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results over the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
Rangers have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Rangers are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Aberdeen vs Rangers| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.81 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.85 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 4.10 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 4.06 | 3.70 | 1.84 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.18 | |
Betano | 4.15 | 3.75 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 2.15 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rangers leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Aberdeen and Rangers, Rangers have won 7 times, Aberdeen has won once, and there have been 2 draws. This record indicates a strong advantage for Rangers, particularly highlighted by several heavy victories, including a 4-0 win and a 4-1 win. The scorelines suggest that while there have been some competitive matches, such as the 2-2 draw and the 1-1 draw, Rangers have often dominated the encounter. Aberdeen's last win against Rangers was in October 2024, making it over two years since they last triumphed in this fixture.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  ST Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | DW |
| 4 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | WL |
| 5 |  Dundee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WL |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 9 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 10 |  Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 11 |  Dundee Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAberdeen have won 10 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Dundee 3-0 and beat Heart Of Midlothian 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 3D 13L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rangers have won 3 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Jagiellonia 2-1 and drew with Dundee Utd 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 7L from the last 25 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAberdeen
No reported absences
Rangers
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Aberdeen have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Rangers 6.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rangers have generated 2.13 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 6.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rangers player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.