Dundee vs Hibernian Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dundee vs Hibernian
Match Preview
The model favours Dundee to win against Hibernian, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Dundee currently sits in 5th place in the Premiership, having played two matches this season with one win and one loss. They have scored two goals and conceded one, resulting in a positive goal difference of one. Their recent form shows some resilience, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. On the other hand, Hibernian is positioned 7th in the table, also with one win and one loss from their two matches played. They have scored three goals but have conceded three as well, leading to a neutral goal difference. Their recent form has been slightly stronger, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating they can be competitive. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Dundee, while Hibernian’s chances stand at 25%. One key market to note is the likelihood of Dundee winning at home, given their solid start to the season. However, a potential concern for Dundee could be their inconsistency, as they have shown vulnerability in recent matches. For a detailed explanation of how we arrived at this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
Hibernian have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Hibernian are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Dundee vs Hibernian| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.39 | 3.40 | 2.12 | 1.85 | 1.90 | 1.71 | 2.03 | |
Betano | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.18 | 1.88 | 1.98 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Hibernian leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Dundee and Hibernian, Hibernian has won 5 times, Dundee has won 2, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines suggest a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested, including a notable 3-3 draw in February 2026. However, Hibernian has recorded some significant victories, such as a 4-0 win in April 2025, indicating their capability to dominate at times. Dundee's last win against Hibernian was in May 2022, while Hibernian has won more recently, which may reflect a shift in momentum in this matchup.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  ST Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | DW |
| 4 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | WL |
| 5 | Dundee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WL |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WL |
| 10 |  Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 11 |  Dundee Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDundee have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Dundee 2-0 and beat Dundee 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 13L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Hibernian have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Hibernian 0-0 and drew with Shkendija 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 10L from the last 30 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDundee
No reported absences
Hibernian
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Dundee have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Hibernian 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Hibernian have generated 1.05 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 2.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Hibernian player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.