Abha vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction, Tips & Odds
Abha vs Al-Ettifaq
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ettifaq to win against Abha, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Al-Ettifaq currently sits in 5th place after their opening match, where they secured a convincing 4-2 victory. This early form is promising, especially considering they have scored a total of four goals while only conceding two, showcasing a positive goal difference of +2. Their overall performance in recent matches also suggests a competitive edge, with two wins in their last five outings. On the other hand, Abha is struggling in 13th place after one match, having lost their season opener 2-1. Their recent form shows a concerning trend with no wins in their last five matches, recording two draws and three losses. This lack of victories, along with a negative goal difference of -1, indicates that they may face challenges in finding the back of the net consistently. The model assigns a high win probability to Al-Ettifaq, reflecting their strong start to the season and recent form. However, it is essential to note that early-season matches can be unpredictable, and Abha could improve as the season progresses. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.3% probability.
Al-Ettifaq have been the stronger side, winning 37% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Al-Ettifaq are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Abha vs Al-Ettifaq| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Ettifaq leads 5-4)In the last 10 matches between Abha and Al-Ettifaq, Al-Ettifaq has won 5 times, Abha has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive encounters and a few lopsided results, with Al-Ettifaq achieving heavy wins of 4-1 on two occasions. Most matches have been closely contested, as seen in the narrow victories, including a 2-1 win for both teams. The last time Abha defeated Al-Ettifaq was in January 2022, highlighting a slight edge for Al-Ettifaq in recent meetings.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 4 |  Al Kholood | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | WDWD |
| 5 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | DWWD |
| 6 |  Al Diriyah | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WDWL |
| 9 | Al-Ettifaq | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 | LLWW |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DDLL |
| 17 | Abha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | LDLL |
| 18 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | LDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAbha have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Abha 1-1 and lost to Abha 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 7L from the last 16 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Ettifaq have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al-Fateh 0-1 and lost to Al Jabalain 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 12L from the last 27 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAbha
No reported absences
Al-Ettifaq
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Abha have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Al-Ettifaq 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ettifaq have generated 1.63 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 37% of them. They put 6.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ettifaq player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
