Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood
Match Preview
The model favours Al Kholood to win this match against Al-Fayha, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al Kholood currently sits in 9th place in the league after playing one match, where they managed to secure a draw. Their season is off to a steady start, showing some resilience despite a challenging recent form with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. The team has scored one goal while conceding one, which reflects a balanced approach. On the other hand, Al-Fayha is struggling at the bottom of the league, positioned 18th with no points from their two matches. They have yet to find their footing this season, having lost both games and only scoring once while conceding five goals. Their recent form is concerning, with just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. The negative goal difference of -4 highlights the defensive issues they need to address. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Al Kholood, with the projected score suggesting a solid performance from them. However, the caveat is that Al Kholood has only played one match, so their form is not fully established. The full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model examines expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Al-Fayha manage games at home, conceding just 1.62 goals per match. Al Kholood score 1.08 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.3% probability.
Al Kholood have been the stronger side, winning 23% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Al Kholood are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.85 | |
| 2.99 | 3.12 | 2.20 | 2.07 | 1.67 | 1.82 | 1.84 | |
| 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 1.90 | 1.90 | |
| 3.12 | 3.35 | 2.32 | 2.15 | 1.71 | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 2.87 | 2.48 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.88 | 2.90 | 2.25 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.85 | |
| 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 3.02 | 3.18 | 2.36 | 2.10 | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.87 | |
| 2.70 | 3.05 | 2.48 | 2.15 | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
Betano | 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.40 | 2.18 | 1.72 | 1.85 | 1.88 |
Superbet | 2.67 | 3.25 | 2.72 | 2.17 | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.13 | 2.30 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.87 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Al Kholood leads 2-1)The head-to-head record between Al-Fayha and Al Kholood stands at 1 win for Al-Fayha, 1 draw, and 2 wins for Al Kholood over the last four matches. This record indicates a slight edge for Al Kholood, particularly highlighted by a dominant 5-0 victory and a 2-0 win, suggesting they have had the upper hand in recent encounters. The matches have featured a mix of low-scoring and heavy results, but the draw in their most recent fixture shows that Al-Fayha is capable of competing. Al-Fayha's last win was a narrow 1-0, while Al Kholood's recent victories were more decisive.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 | DWDWD |
| 11 | Al-Fayha | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Fayha have won 6 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al-Fayha 2-2 and beat Al-Fayha 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 14L from the last 29 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al Kholood have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Al Kholood 1-1 and beat Jeddah Club 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 10D 10L from the last 26 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Fayha
No reported absences
Al Kholood
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Fayha have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Al Kholood 3.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al Kholood have generated 1.19 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 23% of them. They put 3.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al Kholood player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
