Abha vs Al-Hazm Prediction, Tips & Odds
Abha vs Al-Hazm
Match Preview
The model favours Abha to win against Al-Hazm, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Abha starts the season in fifth place, having shown some resilience despite a mixed recent form. Their last five matches resulted in one win and four losses, indicating a need for improvement. However, their position suggests they have the potential to be competitive, especially as they look to build on past performances. On the other hand, Al-Hazm is currently positioned seventh, with a recent form that includes one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. While they have managed a win, their inconsistency could be a concern as they aim to start the season positively. The lack of recent victories may impact their confidence going into this match. The model assigns a win probability of approximately 55% for Abha, with Al-Hazm at 25%, and a 20% chance of a draw. This indicates a clearer advantage for Abha, but it is essential to note that both teams are starting the season, which can lead to unpredictable performances. One caveat for Abha is their need to shake off the negative momentum from their previous matches. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Abha manage games at home, conceding just 1.33 goals per match. Al-Hazm score 1.17 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.5% probability.
Al-Hazm have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Al-Hazm are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Abha vs Al-Hazm| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.70 | 2.00 | |
| 2.43 | 3.18 | 2.60 | 1.93 | 1.78 | 1.71 | 1.97 | |
| 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 2.53 | 3.44 | 2.75 | 2.01 | 1.84 | — | — | |
| 2.37 | 3.05 | 2.62 | 2.03 | 1.81 | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.70 | 1.95 | |
| 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.52 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 1.71 | 2.00 | |
| 2.65 | 3.05 | 2.48 | 1.94 | 1.81 | 1.68 | 2.04 | |
Betano | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.02 | 1.83 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 |
BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 1.90 | 1.77 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Al-Hazm leads 4-2)In the last eight matches between Abha and Al-Hazm, Al-Hazm leads with four wins, while Abha has two victories, and there have been two draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive and one-sided encounters, with Al-Hazm achieving significant wins, such as 4-1 and 2-0. However, there have also been tightly contested matches, including two 1-1 draws. Abha's last win against Al-Hazm was in February 2022, suggesting a shift in dominance towards Al-Hazm in recent fixtures. Overall, while Al-Hazm has the upper hand historically, the matches have featured a balance of close results.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Al-Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Al-Hazm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  NEOM | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 | Abha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 16 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAbha have won 3 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al-Hazm 1-2 and lost to Al-Adalah 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 1D 5L from the last 12 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Hazm have won 0 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-0 and drew with Al Najma 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 4D 7L from the last 18 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAbha
No reported absences
Al-Hazm
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Abha average 1.3 goals per match at home; Al-Hazm 1.2 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Hazm have generated 1.51 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Hazm player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
