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Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood Prediction, Tips & Odds

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood

Pro LeagueRegular Season - 1
Al-Ittihad FC
#6 · Pro League
WDLWW
VS
King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah (63,079)
Al Kholood
#15 · Pro League
LLDDL
★ OUR PICK
Al-Ittihad FC to Win
Strong home form and superior underlying numbers over Al Kholood make Al-Ittihad FC the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.50
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.45 (implied 69.1%) for Al-Ittihad FC to Win. Our experts calculate a 71.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.40). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (71.6% vs 69.1%), driven by Al-Ittihad FC's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al Kholood, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al-Ittihad FC starts the season in a promising position, currently ranked 3rd in the league despite having not played any matches yet. Their recent form shows a mixed bag with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, but they have the potential to build on their previous successes. Key stats from last season indicate a strong attack and a solid defensive record, suggesting they can dominate this matchup. On the other hand, Al Kholood finds themselves at the bottom of the standings, ranked 18th, also without any matches played this season. Their recent performance is concerning, with three losses and only two draws in their last five matches. This poor form could impact their confidence going into the new season, making it a challenging start for them. The model indicates a win probability of 70% for Al-Ittihad FC, with a projected score of 2-0. A significant caveat is that both teams are entering the season without any match experience, which could lead to unexpected outcomes. For a detailed explanation of the methodology behind this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Al-Ittihad FC Win66%1.45
Draw19%4.34
Al Kholood Win15%5.95
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7055.6%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5758.4%

Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Al-Ittihad FC 2-0 Al Kholood
7.4013.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Al-Ittihad FC -1.5
2.2546%

Al-Ittihad FC have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
7.40
13.6%
2-1
7.48
13.5%
1-0
7.76
12.9%
1-1
8.12
12.4%
3-0
9.84
10.2%
3-1
10.15
9.9%

Our model projects a 2-0 Al-Ittihad FC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Ittihad FC clean sheets, in line with their 24% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Al-Ittihad FC
-0.0
1.15
Al Kholood
+0.0
4.78
Al-Ittihad FC
-0.5
1.47
Al Kholood
+0.5
4.90
Al-Ittihad FC
-1.5
2.25
Al Kholood
+1.5
11.00

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al-Ittihad FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.484.506.001.572.351.672.05
Marathonbet
1.404.336.051.552.291.701.98
Betfair
1.444.506.001.572.381.732.10
Pinnacle
1.434.696.031.582.36
William Hill
1.444.005.501.702.00
Bet365
1.454.106.001.602.301.732.00
1xBet
1.454.536.311.572.321.702.01
Unibet
1.484.205.401.562.331.642.10
888Sport
1.444.005.501.532.251.702.00
Betano
1.504.506.201.622.371.722.05
BetVictor
1.404.406.501.562.231.702.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
58.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAl-Ittihad FC or Draw
85%1.11
12Al-Ittihad FC or Al Kholood
81%1.17
X2Draw or Al Kholood
34%2.57

Head to Head

Last 6 Meetings (Al-Ittihad FC leads 3-0)
3 Al-Ittihad FC3 Draw0 Al Kholood
04 May
Al-Ittihad FC
0-0
Al Kholood
Pro League
18 Mar
Al Kholood
1-1
Al-Ittihad FC
King's Cup
09 Jan
Al Kholood
0-4
Al-Ittihad FC
Pro League
Feb 25
Al-Ittihad FC
4-3
Al Kholood
Pro League
Aug 24
Al Kholood
0-1
Al-Ittihad FC
Pro League
Sept 23
Al Kholood
1-1
Al-Ittihad FC
King's Cup

In the last six matches between Al-Ittihad FC and Al Kholood, Al-Ittihad FC has won three times, there have been three draws, and Al Kholood has yet to secure a victory. The results indicate a competitive dynamic, with three matches ending in draws and the other three featuring a mix of narrow and more decisive wins for Al-Ittihad FC, including a 4-0 victory. Al Kholood has struggled to find the back of the net against Al-Ittihad, as evidenced by their inability to win any of the contests, highlighting a challenging historical matchup for them.

Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Al-Qadisiyah FC
11003123
W
2
Al-Hazm
11002113
W
3
Al-Ahli Jeddah
11001013
W
4
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
00000000
5
Al-Ettifaq
00000000
6
Al-Ittihad FC
00000000
15
Al Kholood
00000000
16
Abha
100112-10
L
17
Al Diriyah
100101-10
L
18
Al Shabab
100113-20
L

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Al-Ittihad FCHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game
Al KholoodAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Al-Ittihad FCAl Kholood
1.88Goals p.g.0.82
1.52Goals conceded p.g.1.68
24%Clean sheets23%
48%Win rate18%
3.4Avg goals in match2.5
1.45xG per game0.97
0.50xGA per game0.23
53%Possession %48%
4.5Shots on target / game2.8
5.1Corners per game3.8
Al-Ittihad FC
Recent Form

Al-Ittihad FC have won 6 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al-Ittihad FC 1-5 and beat Al-Ittihad FC 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 8L from the last 25 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Al-Ittihad FCAll competitions
11 Aug
Al-Jazira
1-4
Al-Ittihad FC
AFC Champions League Elite
30 Jul
Malaga
2-2
Al-Ittihad FC
Friendlies Clubs
30 Jul
Mallorca
4-2
Al-Ittihad FC
Friendlies Clubs
25 Jul
Las Palmas
1-2
Al-Ittihad FC
Friendlies Clubs
21 Jul
Orlando Pirates
2-3
Al-Ittihad FC
Friendlies Clubs
21 May
Al-Ittihad FC
1-5
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Pro League
12
Win
48%
5
Draw
20%
8
Lost
32%
Al Kholood
Recent Form

Al Kholood have won 3 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al Kholood 2-0 and lost to Albacete 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 4W 8D 10L from the last 22 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Al KholoodAll competitions
25 Jul
Luton
2-0
Al Kholood
Friendlies Clubs
21 Jul
Albacete
2-1
Al Kholood
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
Kaizer Chiefs
1-1
Al Kholood
Friendlies Clubs
21 May
Al Kholood
0-0
Al-Fateh
Pro League
16 May
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3-0
Al Kholood
Pro League
12 May
Al Kholood
0-0
Al Okhdood
Pro League
4
Win
18%
8
Draw
36%
10
Lost
45%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Al-Ittihad FC

No reported absences

Al Kholood

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Al-Ittihad FC Win1.45 (65.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.57 (58.4%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (55.6%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.32 (41.6%)
BTTS No2.03 (44.4%)
Speculative
Draw4.34 (19.2%)
Al Kholood Win5.95 (15.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Al-Ittihad FC have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Al Kholood 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Al-Ittihad FC have generated 1.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ittihad FC player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Al-Ittihad FC to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.