Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win against Al-Fayha, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Al-Hilal starts the season at the top of the table, and their recent form showcases their strength, with three wins and a draw in their last five matches. This consistent performance positions them as a formidable opponent, and their ability to score and control games will be crucial. In contrast, Al-Fayha finds themselves at the bottom of the standings. Their last five matches have resulted in four losses and just one draw, indicating struggles in both attack and defense. With no points on the board yet, they will need to significantly improve to compete effectively against a side like Al-Hilal. According to the model, Al-Hilal has a strong win probability heading into this match. While the projected score is 2-0 in favour of Al-Hilal, a key caveat is that early-season matches can yield unexpected results, particularly as teams find their rhythm. The full methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model utilizes expected goals and actual results across the season to inform predictions. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has applied this approach to provide a data-driven outlook for this fixture.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Al-Fayha have kept a clean sheet in 24% of matches. Al-Hilal Saudi FC average 2.3 goals per game.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.3% probability.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have been the stronger side, winning 68% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win as the most likely scoreline at 17.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al-Hilal Saudi FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 13.00 | 5.60 | 1.22 | 1.55 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 1.70 | |
| 10.50 | 6.05 | 1.18 | 1.51 | 2.26 | 2.05 | 1.65 | |
| 12.00 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 2.15 | 1.67 | |
| 11.04 | 6.77 | 1.21 | 1.59 | 2.35 | — | — | |
| 8.68 | 5.22 | 1.20 | — | — | — | — | |
| 11.00 | 5.80 | 1.18 | — | — | 2.05 | 1.67 | |
| 9.50 | 5.75 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 11.70 | 6.78 | 1.20 | 1.56 | 2.33 | 2.05 | 1.67 | |
| 9.00 | 5.20 | 1.26 | 1.52 | 2.45 | 1.88 | 1.80 | |
| 11.00 | 5.75 | 1.18 | 1.53 | 2.30 | 2.05 | 1.67 | |
Betano | 10.75 | 5.90 | 1.27 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 2.07 | 1.70 |
Superbet | 10.00 | 6.30 | 1.25 | 1.60 | 2.35 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
BetVictor | 11.50 | 5.50 | 1.20 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Hilal Saudi FC leads 7-1)In their last 10 encounters, Al-Hilal Saudi FC has won 7 times, Al-Fayha has 1 win, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a lopsided rivalry, with Al-Hilal often securing comfortable victories, as evidenced by four matches ending with a margin of two or more goals. Al-Fayha's sole win came in a Super Cup match, highlighting the rarity of their success against Al-Hilal. Additionally, Al-Fayha has not won in their last six league meetings, which suggests a significant challenge in overcoming their opponents historically.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Al-Nassr | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Al-Ettifaq | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Al-Fayha | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | DDDLL |
| 17 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | DDLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Fayha have won 6 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al-Fayha 2-2 and beat Al-Fayha 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 14L from the last 29 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 12 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al Shabab 0-2 and beat Al Khaleej Saihat 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 8D 2L from the last 31 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Fayha
No reported absences
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Fayha have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Al-Hilal Saudi FC 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have generated 2.72 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 68% of them. They put 6.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Hilal Saudi FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
