AC Horsens vs Randers FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
AC Horsens vs Randers FC
Match Preview
The model favours AC Horsens to win against Randers FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. AC Horsens currently sits in 6th place in the Superliga, having secured 11 points from 9 matches with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. Their recent form has shown improvement, with three wins in their last five matches, highlighting a potential upward trend. Particularly, they have managed to score 15 goals while conceding 16, indicating a competitive edge in their attacking play. On the other hand, Randers FC is positioned 8th, just one point behind Horsens. They have also played 9 matches, with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses. Despite their struggles, they have shown moments of resilience, winning 3 of their last 5 matches. However, their defensive record of 14 goals conceded suggests vulnerabilities that could be exploited by the Horsens attack. The model gives AC Horsens a win probability of approximately 55%, while Randers FC has a 25% chance of victory. One key market percentage to consider is the over/under goals line, which may reflect the expectations for attacking play from both sides. A potential caveat for Horsens is their inconsistency earlier in the season, which could allow Randers to capitalize on any lapses. For further details on our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
AC Horsens have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. AC Horsens are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
AC Horsens vs Randers FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.75 | 3.44 | 2.38 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.63 | 2.11 | |
| 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.30 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.44 | 2.38 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)The head-to-head record between AC Horsens and Randers FC is evenly balanced, with each team winning 4 matches and 2 matches ending in draws over the last 10 encounters. The scorelines indicate a mix of results, with some matches being high-scoring, such as AC Horsens' 5-1 victory in November 2022, while other matches have been tightly contested, including two 1-0 results. Notably, both teams have had periods of dominance, but the most recent matchup saw AC Horsens winning a friendly 4-3, suggesting that recent results might not heavily favor either side.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  Viborg | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 | DLWDL |
| 5 |  Brondby | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 | WLLLL |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 12 | DDLWL |
| 8 | Randers FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Lyngby | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 | LLDWD |
| 11 |  Aarhus | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | DLDLL |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 5 | WDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAC Horsens have won 6 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat AC Horsens 2-1 and drew with AC Horsens 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 7L from the last 25 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Randers FC have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sonderjyske 4-2 and beat Vendsyssel FF 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 16L from the last 37 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAC Horsens
No reported absences
Randers FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
AC Horsens have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Randers FC 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
AC Horsens have generated 1.38 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. AC Horsens player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.