Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction, Tips & Odds

Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland

SuperligaRegular Season - 11
Lyngby
#10 · Superliga
LLLDW
VS
Lyngby Stadion, Kongens Lyngby
FC Nordsjaelland
#4 · Superliga
DLLWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.47
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.46 (implied 68.6%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 71.1% probability (an expert ratio of 1.41). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (71.1% vs 68.6%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Nordsjaelland to win against Lyngby, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Nordsjaelland currently sits in fourth place in the Superliga, having accumulated 17 points from nine matches. Their season has been marked by a strong offensive output, scoring 14 goals while conceding just 10, resulting in a goal difference of +4. With five wins in their last nine matches, they have shown consistency that could be pivotal in this fixture. On the other hand, Lyngby finds themselves in a challenging position, ranked 10th with only seven points from nine games. Their record of one win, four draws, and four losses highlights their struggle to convert chances into victories, with a goal difference of -6. While they have shown some resilience with two wins and two draws in their last five matches, their overall form has been inconsistent, which may hinder their ability to secure points against a stronger opponent. The model indicates a win probability of 58% for FC Nordsjaelland, with a key market suggesting they will win by a margin of one goal. However, a potential concern for Nordsjaelland could be their recent dip in form, with two losses in their last five matches. The full methodology behind this prediction, which relies on expected goals and actual results, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Lyngby Win32%3.45
Draw21%3.82
FC Nordsjaelland Win47%1.94
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.4662.9%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5061.2%

Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Lyngby 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland
7.5313.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Nordsjaelland -0.0
1.4741%

FC Nordsjaelland have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
7.53
13.3%
1-2
8.34
12.0%
0-1
10.35
9.7%
2-2
11.20
9.0%
2-1
11.40
8.8%
0-2
11.55
8.7%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Lyngby
-0.0
2.60
FC Nordsjaelland
+0.0
1.47
Lyngby
-1.5
6.50
FC Nordsjaelland
+1.5
3.20

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. FC Nordsjaelland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
3.443.801.921.472.351.462.49
Betfair
3.503.901.90————
Pinnacle
3.493.911.961.522.55——
William Hill
3.303.601.95——1.442.50
1xBet
3.443.801.941.472.351.462.53
Betano
3.503.901.981.552.521.472.55

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
81.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
61.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
41.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XLyngby or Draw
54%1.82
12Lyngby or FC Nordsjaelland
79%1.24
X2Draw or FC Nordsjaelland
68%1.30

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (FC Nordsjaelland leads 4-1)
1 Lyngby5 Draw4 FC Nordsjaelland
Mar 25
Lyngby
1-0
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
Aug 24
FC Nordsjaelland
1-1
Lyngby
Superliga
Feb 24
FC Nordsjaelland
3-2
Lyngby
Superliga
Sept 23
Lyngby
1-1
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
Feb 23
Lyngby
1-1
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
Aug 22
FC Nordsjaelland
2-1
Lyngby
Superliga
Mar 21
Lyngby
0-3
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
Sept 20
FC Nordsjaelland
4-1
Lyngby
Superliga
Nov 19
Lyngby
1-1
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
Oct 19
FC Nordsjaelland
1-1
Lyngby
Superliga

The head-to-head record between Lyngby and FC Nordsjaelland stands at 1 win for Lyngby, 5 draws, and 4 wins for FC Nordsjaelland. This indicates a competitive rivalry, with a notable number of draws reflecting closely contested matches. The scorelines suggest a tendency for narrow results, as evidenced by the five matches ending in draws and several games decided by a single goal. FC Nordsjaelland's recent victories, including a 3-0 win in 2021 and a 4-1 win in 2020, highlight their ability to secure more decisive wins, while Lyngby's last victory came in March 2025, indicating a challenging period for them historically.

Superliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Copenhagen
1080224101424
LWWWW
2
FC Midtjylland
106401910922
WDWDW
3
Viborg
10622178920
WWDLW
4
FC Nordsjaelland
105321410418
DLWDL
5
Brondby
105141717016
WLLLL
6
AC Horsens
103341819-112
DDLWL
10
Lyngby
101451221-97
LLDWD
11
Aarhus
90541117-65
DLDLL
12
Sonderjyske
91261221-95
WDLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
LyngbyHome
0W4D1L
5 playedGF 5 · GA 90.80 pts/game
FC NordsjaellandAway
1W2D2L
5 playedGF 7 · GA 91.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
LyngbyFC Nordsjaelland
1.88Goals p.g.1.61
1.54Goals conceded p.g.1.2
29%Clean sheets32%
46%Win rate48%
3.42Avg goals in match2.82
1.80xG per game2.28
-0.18xGA per game0.17
50%Possession %56%
4.0Shots on target / game5.1
5.8Corners per game5.1
Lyngby
Recent Form

Lyngby have won 3 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Lyngby 3-4 and lost to Lyngby 0-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 9L from the last 24 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LyngbyAll competitions
11 Oct
Brondby
5-2
Lyngby
Superliga
03 Oct
Lyngby
3-4
Hvidovre
Friendlies Clubs
18 Sept
Lyngby
0-4
Silkeborg
Superliga
13 Sept
Lyngby
1-1
Sonderjyske
Superliga
09 Sept
VSK Århus
0-2
Lyngby
DBU Pokalen
04 Sept
Viborg
0-2
Lyngby
Superliga
11
Win
46%
4
Draw
17%
9
Lost
38%
FC Nordsjaelland
Recent Form

FC Nordsjaelland have won 9 of their last 22 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Malmo FF 3-0 and lost to Viborg 4-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 21W 12D 11L from the last 44 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC NordsjaellandAll competitions
09 Oct
FC Nordsjaelland
0-0
Odense
Superliga
03 Oct
Malmo FF
3-0
FC Nordsjaelland
Friendlies Clubs
20 Sept
Viborg
4-1
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
16 Sept
Vatanspor
0-3
FC Nordsjaelland
DBU Pokalen
13 Sept
FC Nordsjaelland
2-0
Aarhus
Superliga
07 Sept
FC Midtjylland
2-2
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
21
Win
48%
12
Draw
27%
11
Lost
25%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Lyngby

No reported absences

FC Nordsjaelland

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.50 (61.2%)
Both Teams Score1.46 (62.9%)
Value Bets
Lyngby Win3.45 (32.2%)
FC Nordsjaelland Win1.94 (46.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.44 (38.8%)
BTTS No2.52 (37.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.82 (21.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Lyngby have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; FC Nordsjaelland 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

FC Nordsjaelland have generated 2.28 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 5.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Nordsjaelland player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.