AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske Prediction, Tips & Odds
AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske
Match Preview
The model favours AC Horsens to win against Sonderjyske, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. AC Horsens currently sits in 6th place in the league, having played 10 matches and secured 12 points. Their season has been a mix of results, with three wins, three draws, and four losses. Key statistics indicate that they have scored 18 goals but conceded 19, resulting in a goal difference of -1. However, their recent form shows improvement with two wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last five matches. On the other hand, Sonderjyske is struggling at the bottom of the table in 12th place with only 5 points from 9 matches. Their record stands at one win, two draws, and six losses, with 12 goals scored and 21 conceded, leaving them with a goal difference of -9. Despite a recent win, their overall form has been inconsistent, with only two victories in their last five matches, indicating a challenging season thus far. The model predicts an AC Horsens win with a win probability of approximately 60%. While the data suggests a clear edge for Horsens, Sonderjyske's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked, especially if they improve their defensive performance. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
AC Horsens have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. AC Horsens are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.36 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.72 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.70 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.43 | 3.47 | 2.86 | 1.75 | 2.10 | — | — | |
| 2.29 | 3.19 | 2.51 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.75 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.81 | 1.72 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
Betano | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.85 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sonderjyske leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between AC Horsens and Sonderjyske, Sonderjyske has won 7 times, AC Horsens has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a clear advantage for Sonderjyske, with several heavy victories, including a 5-0 win and a 4-1 win. AC Horsens has struggled to secure points against Sonderjyske, with their last victory dating back to 2021. The matches tend to feature a mix of narrow and decisive outcomes, but overall, Sonderjyske's dominance in this head-to-head record is evident.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 25 | DLWWW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Viborg | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 4 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 19 | DDLWD |
| 5 |  Brondby | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 10 |  Aarhus | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 9 | DWDLD |
| 11 | Sonderjyske | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 8 | WLWDL |
| 12 |  Lyngby | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 8 | DLLDW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAC Horsens have won 6 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Randers FC 0-0 and beat Vejle 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 7L from the last 25 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Sonderjyske have won 4 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Aarhus 3-0 and lost to AB Copenhagen 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 18L from the last 36 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAC Horsens
No reported absences
Sonderjyske
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
AC Horsens have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Sonderjyske 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
AC Horsens have generated 1.41 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. AC Horsens player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
