Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ettifaq to win against Al Riyadh, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Ettifaq enters the new season with strong aspirations, having finished in a commendable second position last year. While their recent form shows a mix of results, they will be looking to leverage their solid standing and capitalize on the momentum they built during the previous campaign. On the other hand, Al Riyadh finds themselves in a challenging spot, having finished in 14th place last season. Their recent form indicates a struggle for consistency, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. As they start the season, they will need to quickly find their rhythm to avoid a repeat of last year's performance. The model suggests a win probability of 65% for Al-Ettifaq, with the projected score being 2-1. One caveat for Al-Ettifaq is their inconsistent form in the final matches of last season, which could affect their confidence going into this game. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results from the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.8% probability.
Al-Ettifaq have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Al-Ettifaq are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.35 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.48 | 2.40 | |
| 2.00 | 3.48 | 3.10 | 1.58 | 2.23 | 1.50 | 2.34 | |
| 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 2.11 | 3.69 | 3.27 | 1.63 | 2.29 | — | — | |
| 2.09 | 3.25 | 2.90 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
| 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.08 | 3.61 | 3.22 | 1.60 | 2.26 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 2.04 | 3.45 | 3.10 | 1.61 | 2.23 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 2.15 | 1.50 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 2.07 | 3.65 | 3.40 | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.47 |
Superbet | 2.07 | 3.70 | 3.35 | 1.60 | 2.35 | 1.52 | 2.45 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Al-Ettifaq leads 3-2)The head-to-head record between Al-Ettifaq and Al Riyadh shows Al-Ettifaq winning 3 matches, Al Riyadh winning 2, and 1 match ending in a draw over the last 6 encounters. The scorelines indicate a relatively competitive rivalry, with several narrow victories; four matches were decided by a single goal, and one match ended in a goalless draw. Al Riyadh's most recent win came in October 2023, while Al-Ettifaq has been more successful in earlier fixtures, winning their last two meetings prior to that. Overall, the match outcomes suggest a balanced contest with no side dominating consistently.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Al-Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Al-Hazm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  NEOM | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Ettifaq have won 5 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Ettifaq 3-2 and lost to Al-Ettifaq 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 9L from the last 22 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al Riyadh have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al Riyadh 4-2 and drew with Al Taawon 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 7D 9L from the last 21 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Ettifaq
No reported absences
Al Riyadh
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Ettifaq have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Al Riyadh 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ettifaq have generated 1.53 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ettifaq player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
