Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Faisaly FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Faisaly FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win against Al-Faisaly FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. As the reigning champions, Al-Hilal starts the season at the top of the standings, having displayed strong form in their last five matches, securing four wins and one loss. This momentum is crucial as they aim to defend their title, with their recent performances suggesting a solid attacking capability. In contrast, Al-Faisaly FC enters the season in 12th place, despite a perfect record in their last five matches, winning all five. However, it is important to note that these victories were in the previous season, and their ability to translate that success into the new campaign remains uncertain. They will need to quickly adapt to the challenges of the upcoming fixtures to avoid a slow start. The model indicates a high likelihood of an Al-Hilal victory, with a win probability that reflects their stronger position and recent form. However, a caveat exists; if Al-Faisaly can carry their winning momentum into this match and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Al-Hilal, they could surprise. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season to derive these insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have been the stronger side, winning 64% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Hilal Saudi FC clean sheets, in line with their 44% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Al-Hilal Saudi FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Faisaly FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.15 | 7.40 | 15.00 | 1.30 | 3.35 | 1.85 | 1.83 | |
| 1.09 | 7.90 | 15.00 | 1.26 | 3.20 | 1.87 | 1.79 | |
| 1.11 | 8.00 | 20.00 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 1.14 | 8.99 | 14.56 | 1.29 | 3.40 | — | — | |
| 1.15 | 6.66 | 10.12 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.12 | 7.50 | 13.00 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.80 | |
| 1.17 | 6.50 | 15.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.10 | 9.55 | 18.00 | 1.26 | 3.20 | 1.87 | 1.82 | |
| 1.10 | 8.50 | 15.00 | 1.27 | 3.60 | 1.92 | 1.77 | |
| 1.13 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.25 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 1.80 | |
Betano | 1.17 | 7.30 | 18.00 | 1.34 | 3.30 | 1.88 | 1.85 |
Superbet | 1.17 | 7.70 | 14.00 | 1.38 | 3.10 | 1.97 | 1.77 |
BetVictor | 1.12 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Hilal Saudi FC leads 6-0)In the last 10 matches between Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Faisaly FC, Al-Hilal has won 6 times, with 4 matches ending in a draw, while Al-Faisaly has yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a competitive edge for Al-Hilal, with several matches being closely contested; however, Al-Hilal has managed to achieve narrow wins, including three matches decided by a single goal. The four draws highlight that Al-Faisaly has been able to hold Al-Hilal to a stalemate on multiple occasions, but the absence of wins for Al-Faisaly reflects a challenging historical trend in this fixture.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Al-Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Al-Hazm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  NEOM | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Hilal Saudi FC have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Faisaly FC 4-2 and drew with Al Ahli Doha 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 1L from the last 25 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Faisaly FC have won 5 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al-Faisaly FC 1-3 and beat Al Bukayriyah 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 1D 0L from the last 10 games (90% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Hilal Saudi FC
No reported absences
Al-Faisaly FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC average 2.3 goals per match at home; Al-Faisaly FC 2.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have generated 2.07 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 64% of them. They put 6.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Hilal Saudi FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
