Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction, Tips & Odds
Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.
Match Preview
The model favours Gimnasia L.P. to win against Aldosivi, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Gimnasia L.P. currently sits in 6th place in the Liga Profesional standings, having accumulated 26 points from 16 matches. Their season has been marked by a strong offensive presence, scoring 19 goals while conceding the same number. With eight wins to their name, their recent form includes three victories in their last five matches, indicating a team capable of capitalising on their chances. In contrast, Aldosivi has struggled significantly this season, positioned 14th with only eight points from 16 matches. They have yet to secure a win, recording eight draws and eight losses. Their goal-scoring has been particularly poor, managing just six goals throughout the campaign, which highlights their ongoing challenges in attack. The team has only one win in their last five matches, reflecting a lack of momentum and confidence. The model output indicates a win probability of 65% for Gimnasia L.P., with a projected score of 2-0. A key market percentage to note is the likelihood of Gimnasia winning by at least one goal. However, a potential concern is that if Aldosivi manages to tighten their defensive play, they could frustrate Gimnasia's attempts to score. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Aldosivi have kept a clean sheet in 25% of matches. Gimnasia L.P. average 1.3 goals per game.
Aldosivi manage games at home, conceding just 1.15 goals per match. Gimnasia L.P. score 1.33 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.3% probability.
Aldosivi have been the stronger side, winning 15% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Aldosivi are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.80 | 2.82 | 2.80 | 2.90 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 1.60 | |
| 2.84 | 2.89 | 2.67 | 2.80 | 1.34 | 2.26 | 1.55 | |
| 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.70 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.03 | 2.77 | 2.79 | 3.08 | 1.37 | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 2.75 | 2.62 | — | — | 2.15 | 1.65 | |
| 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 2.89 | 2.94 | 2.72 | 2.80 | 1.34 | 2.26 | 1.57 | |
| 2.85 | 2.80 | 2.85 | 2.85 | 1.38 | 2.20 | 1.60 | |
Betano | 2.87 | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.95 | 1.42 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
BetVictor | 2.88 | 2.88 | 2.75 | 2.90 | 1.40 | 2.25 | 1.57 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Gimnasia L.P. leads 6-0)In the last ten matches between Aldosivi and Gimnasia L.P., Gimnasia has won 6 times, with 4 draws and no victories for Aldosivi. The scorelines indicate a lopsided history, as Gimnasia has secured several convincing wins, including a 4-1 victory and multiple 3-1 and 3-0 results. The matches have also featured a notable number of draws, but Aldosivi has not won against Gimnasia in this period. The last draw was in August 2022, suggesting a significant challenge for Aldosivi to overcome their winless streak.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLDWD |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LLWDW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | LLLWW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | LWDWL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAldosivi have won 2 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Aldosivi 1-1 and drew with Aldosivi 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 9D 8L from the last 20 games (15% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Gimnasia L.P. have won 7 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Gimnasia L.P. 2-1 and beat Dinamo Makhachkala 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 3D 9L from the last 24 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAldosivi
No reported absences
Gimnasia L.P.
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Aldosivi have averaged 3.5 corners per match at home; Gimnasia L.P. 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Aldosivi have generated 0.52 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 15% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Aldosivi player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
