Aldosivi vs Tigre Prediction, Tips & Odds
Aldosivi vs Tigre
Match Preview
The model favours Tigre to win against Aldosivi, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Tigre currently sits in 10th place in the Liga Profesional, having accumulated 20 points from 16 matches. Their season has been characterized by a modest attacking output, scoring 18 goals while allowing 15. With four wins and eight draws, Tigre has shown resilience, particularly in their ability to secure points even when not winning outright. On the other hand, Aldosivi is struggling significantly this season, positioned 14th with just 8 points from 16 matches. They have yet to secure a win, recording eight draws and eight losses, with a goal difference of -13. Their offensive struggles are evident, having scored only six goals, which is the lowest in the league. Aldosivi's recent form has not improved their outlook, registering only one win in their last five matches. The model gives Tigre a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 1-0. However, a potential caveat is Tigre's inconsistency, as they have experienced fluctuations in form, including three losses in their last five games. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Aldosivi have kept a clean sheet in 23% of matches. Tigre average 1.2 goals per game.
Aldosivi manage games at home, conceding just 1.18 goals per match. Tigre score 1.20 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.4% probability.
Tigre have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Tigre are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Aldosivi vs Tigre| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.05 | 2.80 | 2.60 | 2.90 | 1.40 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 3.10 | 2.76 | 2.58 | 2.85 | 1.33 | 2.28 | 1.54 | |
| 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.50 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.38 | 1.57 | |
| 3.16 | 2.80 | 2.66 | 3.17 | 1.36 | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 2.70 | 2.41 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 2.70 | 2.50 | — | — | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 3.40 | 2.70 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.38 | 1.53 | |
| 3.16 | 2.81 | 2.63 | 2.85 | 1.33 | 2.28 | 1.56 | |
| 3.05 | 2.80 | 2.60 | 2.95 | 1.38 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 3.00 | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.90 | 1.36 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
Betano | 3.20 | 2.77 | 2.65 | 3.05 | 1.40 | 2.27 | 1.60 |
BetVictor | 3.13 | 2.88 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.30 | 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Tigre leads 6-1)In the last eight matches between Aldosivi and Tigre, Tigre has won 6 times, Aldosivi has won once, and there has been 1 draw. This record indicates a strong advantage for Tigre, particularly with four of their victories coming by two goals or more, highlighting a tendency for one-sided matches. Aldosivi's only win was a narrow 1-0 result in March 2022, while Tigre's recent dominance includes a 3-0 victory in September 2022 and several other convincing scorelines. Aldosivi last triumphed over Tigre nearly a year and a half ago, suggesting a challenge for them in this matchup.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LLWLL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DWDLL |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | LLLLL |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWWWL |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LLLDD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LDLWL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | WLLWD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAldosivi have won 2 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Gimnasia L.P. 1-2 and drew with Independ. Rivadavia 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 9D 10L from the last 22 games (14% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Tigre have won 3 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Racing Club 1-3 and lost to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 12D 8L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAldosivi
No reported absences
Tigre
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Pafundi has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Aldosivi have averaged 3.7 corners per match at home; Tigre 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tigre have generated 1.12 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tigre player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
