Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction, Tips & Odds
Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra
Match Preview
The model favours Newells Old Boys to win against Deportivo Riestra, with a projected scoreline of 1-0. Newells Old Boys currently sit in 14th place in the Liga Profesional Argentina, having accumulated 15 points from 16 matches. Their season has been marked by a struggle for consistency, with three wins, six draws, and seven losses. Despite their negative goal difference of -12, they have shown some resilience, managing to secure a win and three draws in their last five matches. Deportivo Riestra, on the other hand, is just behind in 15th place with 11 points from the same number of games. Their season has been particularly challenging, with only one win, eight draws, and seven losses. They have scored just five goals, the lowest in the league, while conceding 12. Their recent form has not been encouraging either, with only one win in their last five matches, indicating difficulties in converting draws into victories. The model predicts a win probability of around 55% for Newells Old Boys. While they are favoured, a potential caveat is their tendency to draw matches, which could lead to a stalemate. For a deeper understanding of the predictions, the methodology involves an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team provides this data-driven insight to help inform your betting decisions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Newells Old Boys have kept a clean sheet in 14% of matches. Deportivo Riestra average 0.6 goals per game.
Newells Old Boys manage games at home, conceding just 1.59 goals per match. Deportivo Riestra score 0.61 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 19.5% probability.
Newells Old Boys have been the stronger side, winning 18% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Newells Old Boys win as the most likely scoreline at 19.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Newells Old Boys clean sheets, in line with their 14% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Newells Old Boys are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.25 | 2.82 | 3.70 | 2.95 | 1.38 | 2.30 | 1.55 | |
| 2.34 | 2.79 | 3.50 | 2.94 | 1.31 | 2.35 | 1.51 | |
| 2.30 | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.30 | 1.60 | |
| 2.37 | 2.88 | 3.57 | 3.19 | 1.36 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 2.71 | 3.28 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.40 | — | — | 2.30 | 1.57 | |
| 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.38 | 1.53 | |
| 2.38 | 2.84 | 3.56 | 2.94 | 1.31 | 2.35 | 1.53 | |
| 2.28 | 2.70 | 3.85 | 3.05 | 1.36 | 2.33 | 1.54 | |
| 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.33 | 2.30 | 1.57 | |
Betano | 2.30 | 2.87 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.42 | 2.30 | 1.57 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 2.88 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.33 | 2.40 | 1.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Newells Old Boys leads 1-0)In the last three meetings between Newells Old Boys and Deportivo Riestra, Newells Old Boys has won once, while there have been two draws and no victories for Deportivo Riestra. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with matches frequently ending in draws, including two high-scoring encounters of 3-3 and 1-1. Newells Old Boys' sole win was a narrow 1-0 victory, suggesting that while they hold the edge in this head-to-head record, the matches have generally been tightly contested, with Deportivo Riestra yet to claim a win in these recent fixtures.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LLWLL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DWDLL |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | LLLLL |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWWWL |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | LDLWD |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LLLDD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LDLWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | WLLWD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNewells Old Boys have won 2 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Newells Old Boys 2-2 and beat Newells Old Boys 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 7D 11L from the last 22 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Deportivo Riestra have won 0 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Defensa Y Justicia 2-1 and drew with San Lorenzo 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 11D 12L from the last 28 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNewells Old Boys
No reported absences
Deportivo Riestra
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
L. Lobo Medina has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Newells Old Boys have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Deportivo Riestra 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Newells Old Boys have generated 0.64 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 18% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Newells Old Boys player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
