Amed vs Konyaspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Amed vs Konyaspor
Match Preview
The model favours Amed to win against Konyaspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Amed is currently sitting at the top of the Süper Lig standings, having accumulated 13 points from their first six matches. Their strong start includes four wins, one draw, and just one loss, with a goal difference of +8. The team's attacking prowess is evident, having scored 15 goals while conceding only 7, showcasing their ability to maintain a solid defensive structure alongside effective offensive play. On the other hand, Konyaspor is struggling in 15th place, with only 4 points from their six matches. Their record of one win, one draw, and four losses has left them with a goal difference of -4, having scored just 4 goals while conceding 8. The team's recent form has been concerning, with only one victory in their last five matches, indicating difficulties in both scoring and defending that could hinder their performance in this matchup. The model gives Amed a win probability of 65%, while Konyaspor's chances stand at 15%. There is a key market percentage of 55% backing Amed to win by more than one goal. However, a potential caveat for Amed could be complacency given their strong position in the league. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model using expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.
Amed have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Amed clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Amed are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Amed vs Konyaspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.90 | 3.58 | 3.72 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.73 | 1.97 | |
| 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.90 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 1.93 | 3.65 | 4.00 | 1.93 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.07 | 3.33 | 1.94 | 1.88 | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.70 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.98 | 3.73 | 3.88 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Amed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 14 | DWWDW |
| 4 |  Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 13 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 | DDWLL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 20 | -18 | 3 | LLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAmed have won 6 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Amed 3-2 and beat Amed 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 2L from the last 16 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Konyaspor have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Kasımpaşa 0-0 and lost to Erzurumspor FK 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 13L from the last 33 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
5 playersAmed3
Konyaspor2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
O. Ergun has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by O. Ergun to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Amed have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; Konyaspor 3.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Amed have generated 1.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Amed player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
