Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor
Match Preview
The model favours Erzurumspor FK to win against Eyüpspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Erzurumspor currently sits in 14th place in the Süper Lig standings, having played six matches this season. Their form has shown some improvement, with two wins in their last five matches, including a recent victory. With a goal difference of -8, they have struggled defensively, but their attacking output has been slightly more effective than Eyüpspor's. Eyüpspor finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 18th place, having secured only one win from six matches. Their form has been concerning, with four losses in their last five games. They have scored just two goals while conceding 16, resulting in a goal difference of -14. This lack of offensive production and defensive frailty has put them in a difficult position early in the season. The model gives Erzurumspor a win probability of approximately 65%, projecting a score of 2-0. A key market to watch is the likelihood of Erzurumspor winning by more than one goal, which stands at around 45%. However, if Erzurumspor's defence does not improve, they could find themselves under pressure from Eyüpspor's attack. The full methodology used in this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Erzurumspor FK have kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches. Eyüpspor average 1.1 goals per game.
Erzurumspor FK manage games at home, conceding just 0.81 goals per match. Eyüpspor score 1.15 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.4% probability.
Erzurumspor FK have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Erzurumspor FK win as the most likely scoreline at 17.4% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Erzurumspor FK clean sheets, in line with their 50% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Erzurumspor FK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.57 | 3.84 | 5.65 | 1.99 | 1.76 | 1.99 | 1.71 | |
| 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 1.64 | 3.88 | 5.70 | 2.15 | 1.75 | — | — | |
| 1.57 | 3.50 | 4.94 | 2.04 | 1.78 | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.50 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 1.64 | 4.00 | 5.88 | 2.07 | 1.83 | 1.99 | 1.73 | |
Betano | 1.62 | 3.70 | 5.60 | 2.05 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.50 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Eyüpspor leads 3-1)In the last six matches between Erzurumspor FK and Eyüpspor, Eyüpspor has won three times, Erzurumspor FK has won once, and there have been two draws. The scorelines suggest a competitive rivalry, with Eyüpspor achieving several convincing victories, including a notable 4-0 win and a 3-0 win. The draws indicate that matches can be tightly contested, but overall, Eyüpspor seems to have the upper hand recently, winning three of the last four encounters. Erzurumspor FK's last win against Eyüpspor was in September 2021, indicating a challenging period for them in this matchup.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Amed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 14 | DWWDW |
| 4 |  Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 13 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 | DWDWL |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 8 | DWLWD |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 | DDWLL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 20 | -18 | 3 | LLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonErzurumspor FK have won 6 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Erzurumspor FK 1-0 and beat Erzurumspor FK 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 2L from the last 16 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Eyüpspor have won 2 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Eyüpspor 8-0 and lost to Çorum FK 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 12L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
3 playersErzurumspor FK
No reported absences
Eyüpspor3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
E. Mertoglu has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by E. Mertoglu to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Erzurumspor FK have averaged 3.2 corners per match at home; Eyüpspor 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Erzurumspor FK have generated 1.23 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Erzurumspor FK player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
