Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF Prediction, Tips & Odds
Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF
Match Preview
The model favours Anderlecht to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Hammarby FF. Anderlecht has shown solid form recently, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This positive trend suggests they are building momentum as they approach this crucial UEFA Europa League qualifying match. Hammarby FF, on the other hand, has faced challenges lately, with a record of three wins and two losses in their last five games. While they started strong, their recent defeats may impact their confidence heading into this fixture. The inconsistency in their performances could be a critical factor as they face a determined Anderlecht side. The model assigns a win probability of 60% for Anderlecht, highlighting their advantage in form and home-ground support. However, one caveat to consider is Hammarby’s potential for an upset if they can rediscover their early-season form. For a detailed explanation of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
Anderlecht have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Anderlecht are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.22 | 1.74 | 2.05 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 2.12 | 3.54 | 3.23 | 1.74 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 2.03 | 3.13 | 2.97 | 1.73 | 2.05 | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.16 | 3.60 | 3.32 | 1.78 | 2.09 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
| 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.61 | 2.12 | |
Betano | 2.18 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.82 | 2.05 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Superbet | 2.17 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.77 | 2.07 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Anderlecht and Hammarby FF shows 0 wins for Anderlecht, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Hammarby FF. The only match played ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a tightly contested fixture with neither side able to secure a victory. With a single match in the record, it is too early to draw any significant conclusions about a trend, but the draw suggests that both teams are evenly matched based on this encounter.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonAnderlecht have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Anderlecht 3-2 and beat Anderlecht 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 12L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Hammarby FF have won 3 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat IF Elfsborg 1-2 and beat BK Hacken 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 1D 4L from the last 11 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAnderlecht4-4-2Confirmed
Hammarby FF4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAnderlecht
No reported absences
Hammarby FF
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. Nikolic has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by D. Nikolic to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Anderlecht average 1.5 goals per match at home; Hammarby FF 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Anderlecht have generated 0.80 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Anderlecht player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
