Bahia vs Remo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bahia vs Remo
Match Preview
The model favours Bahia to win against Remo, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Bahia currently sits in 6th place in the Serie A standings, having accumulated 37 points from 24 matches. Their season has been marked by a solid performance, with 9 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses. The team has shown resilience recently, going unbeaten in their last five matches with one win and four draws, highlighting their ability to secure points even when not at their best. In contrast, Remo is struggling significantly this season, sitting in 19th place with only 23 points from 24 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses reflects their difficulties in both scoring and defending, as evidenced by a goal difference of -11. Recently, Remo has not managed to secure a win in their last five matches, with three draws and two losses, indicating a lack of momentum and confidence. The model indicates a win probability of around 65% for Bahia, with a projected score of 2-0. However, a potential caveat is Bahia's tendency to draw matches, which could allow Remo to snatch a point if they manage to hold their ground defensively. The full methodology of our prediction, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, relies on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.9% probability.
Bahia have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Bahia win as the most likely scoreline at 13.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Bahia clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Bahia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Bahia vs Remo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.41 | 4.35 | 7.60 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 1.90 | |
| 1.41 | 4.60 | 6.75 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.72 | 1.98 | |
| 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.75 | 2.05 | |
| 1.44 | 4.80 | 7.52 | 1.58 | 2.47 | — | — | |
| 1.37 | 4.07 | 5.80 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.46 | 4.74 | 6.96 | 1.59 | 2.42 | 1.72 | 2.01 | |
| 1.45 | 4.30 | 6.75 | 1.70 | 2.12 | 1.82 | 1.88 | |
| 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.83 | 1.91 | |
Betano | 1.47 | 4.75 | 7.30 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.80 | 7.00 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Remo leads 3-0)In the last three encounters between Bahia and Remo, Remo has won all three matches, with Bahia failing to secure a victory or even a draw. The scorelines indicate a clear advantage for Remo, with two of the matches ending with at least a two-goal margin and the highest defeat for Bahia being 4-1. This suggests a lopsided rivalry, as Bahia has not only struggled to win but has also been unable to keep the scorelines competitive, highlighting their difficulties against Remo in recent fixtures.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 52 | DWLDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 | LDWDW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 45 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 43 | WWWDD |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 | WLWWW |
| 19 | Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBahia have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Bahia 3-2 and drew with Bahia 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 9D 9L from the last 33 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Remo have won 4 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Fluminense 2-1 and drew with Santos 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 12D 15L from the last 37 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedBahia4-3-3Confirmed
Remo4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersBahia
No reported absences
Remo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Bahia have averaged 6.8 corners per match at home; Remo 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bahia have generated 1.52 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 45% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bahia player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
