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Beşiktaş vs Hradec Králové Prediction, Tips & Odds

Beşiktaş vs Hradec Králové

UEFA Europa League3rd Qualifying Round
Beşiktaş
#5 · UEFA Europa League
WWLLW
1 - 0
Besiktas Park, Istanbul
Referee: U. Schnyder
Hradec Králové
LWDWD
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 (implied 63.7%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 66.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.51). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (66.2% vs 63.7%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Beşiktaş to win against Hradec Králové, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Beşiktaş has had a mixed form recently, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency may raise concerns, but their status as a historically strong team in European competitions gives them an edge. Their home advantage at Beşiktaş Park could play a crucial role in their performance. On the other hand, Hradec Králové comes into this match with a solid run, having won three and drawn two of their last five matches, showing they are difficult to beat. Their unbeaten streak indicates a level of resilience and confidence that could pose a challenge for the Turkish side. However, the lack of experience in higher-stakes matches could be a factor working against them. The model’s output indicates a win probability favouring Beşiktaş, reflecting their home advantage and overall pedigree in European tournaments. However, if Hradec Králové maintains their current form, they could disrupt Beşiktaş’s plans. The full method used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which incorporates expected goals and actual results across the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Beşiktaş Win65%1.27
Draw17%5.45
Hradec Králové Win18%9.49
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7450.9%

Beşiktaş have kept a clean sheet in 39% of matches. Hradec Králové average 1.6 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5755.1%

Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Beşiktaş 2-0 Hradec Králové
6.0916.5%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.

Asian Handicap
Beşiktaş -1.5
1.7345%

Beşiktaş have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
6.09
16.5%
1-0
6.97
14.4%
3-0
7.46
13.5%
2-1
8.14
12.4%
1-1
9.83
10.3%
3-1
10.40
9.8%

Our model projects a 2-0 Beşiktaş win as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Beşiktaş clean sheets, in line with their 39% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Beşiktaş
-0.0
1.06
Hradec Králové
+0.0
7.13
Beşiktaş
-0.5
1.26
Hradec Králové
+0.5
7.35
Beşiktaş
-1.5
1.73
Hradec Králové
+1.5
13.00

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Beşiktaş are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Beşiktaş vs Hradec Králové
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.285.309.801.572.351.911.77
Marathonbet
1.265.5510.251.522.251.971.73
Betfair
1.255.5010.001.572.382.051.75
Pinnacle
1.275.8010.211.552.46
SBO
1.244.847.62
William Hill
1.255.008.502.001.75
Bet365
1.255.758.501.602.302.101.67
1xBet
1.296.0811.201.622.411.971.75
Unibet
1.235.6011.001.562.232.071.65
888Sport
1.255.008.501.532.302.001.75
Betano
1.305.308.751.572.351.981.75
Superbet
1.335.358.601.622.301.971.78
BetVictor
1.255.7510.501.552.251.951.75

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
79.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
55.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBeşiktaş or Draw
82%1.05
12Beşiktaş or Hradec Králové
83%1.13
X2Draw or Hradec Králové
35%3.52

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Beşiktaş1 Draw0 Hradec Králové
06 Aug
Hradec Králové
0-0
Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League

The head-to-head record between Beşiktaş and Hradec Králové stands at one draw, with no wins for either side. The only fixture ended in a 0-0 stalemate, indicating a tightly contested match with neither team able to break the deadlock. This low-scoring encounter suggests that both clubs struggled to create significant goal-scoring opportunities. With only one match played, there is limited historical data to analyze, but the absence of victories for either team points to a balanced rivalry thus far.

UEFA Europa League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Anderlecht
00000000
WWWWW
2
Ararat-Armenia
00000000
WD
3
AZ Alkmaar
00000000
4
Benfica
00000000
WWDWW
5
Beşiktaş
00000000
LWWWW
6
Bournemouth
00000000
34
Torreense
00000000
35
Union St. Gilloise
00000000
36
Plzen
00000000
WL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
BeşiktaşHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
BeşiktaşHradec Králové
1.64Goals p.g.1.65
0.92Goals conceded p.g.1
39%Clean sheets29%
56%Win rate59%
2.56Avg goals in match2.65
1.31xG per game1.08
-0.23xGA per game-0.18
63%Possession %23%
5.2Shots on target / game2.0
6.8Corners per game1.0
Beşiktaş
Recent Form

Beşiktaş have won 13 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Beşiktaş 6-2 and beat Beşiktaş 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 20W 7D 9L from the last 36 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: BeşiktaşAll competitions
05 Sept
Fenerbahçe
1-2
Beşiktaş
Süper Lig
31 Aug
Beşiktaş
6-2
Çorum FK
Süper Lig
27 Aug
Kauno Žalgiris
1-0
Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1-0
Beşiktaş
Süper Lig
20 Aug
Beşiktaş
3-0
Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Europa League
16 Aug
Beşiktaş
1-0
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
20
Win
56%
7
Draw
19%
9
Lost
25%
Hradec Králové
Recent Form

Hradec Králové have won 3 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Hradec Králové 1-0 and drew with Bohemians 1905 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 3L from the last 17 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Hradec KrálovéAll competitions
13 Aug
Beşiktaş
1-0
Hradec Králové
UEFA Europa League
09 Aug
Hradec Králové
2-1
Baník Ostrava
Czech Liga
02 Aug
Bohemians 1905
0-0
Hradec Králové
Czech Liga
26 Jul
Hradec Králové
2-1
Pardubice
Czech Liga
16 Jul
FC Kharkiv
3-3
Hradec Králové
Friendlies Clubs
13 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
1-1
Hradec Králové
Friendlies Clubs
10
Win
59%
4
Draw
24%
3
Lost
18%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Beşiktaş

No reported absences

Hradec Králové

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Beşiktaş Win1.27 (65.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.57 (55.1%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.33 (44.9%)
Both Teams Score2.00 (49.1%)
BTTS No1.74 (50.9%)
Speculative
Draw5.45 (17.2%)
Hradec Králové Win9.49 (17.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

U. Schnyder has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Beşiktaş have averaged 6.8 corners per match at home; Hradec Králové 1.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Beşiktaş have generated 1.31 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Beşiktaş player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.