Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS Prediction, Tips & Odds
Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS
Match Preview
The model favours Universitatea Craiova to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against KuPS. Universitatea Craiova has shown a slightly improved form recently, securing two wins in their last five matches. This includes a notable turnaround after a couple of disappointing results, which suggests they are finding their rhythm at a crucial time in the competition. On the other hand, KuPS has struggled, recording only two wins in their last five matches, with three losses complicating their recent run. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to perform in a high-stakes match like this one, especially as they look to advance further in the Europa League. According to the model, Universitatea Craiova has a solid win probability, while KuPS faces an uphill battle. However, it is important to note that if KuPS can stabilize their performance and exploit any defensive lapses from Craiova, they could still pose a significant threat. The full method used to reach this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Universitatea Craiova have kept a clean sheet in 56% of matches. KuPS average 1.8 goals per game.
Universitatea Craiova manage games at home, conceding just 0.81 goals per match. KuPS score 1.84 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.2% probability.
Universitatea Craiova have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Universitatea Craiova win as the most likely scoreline at 17.2% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Universitatea Craiova clean sheets, in line with their 56% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Universitatea Craiova are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.37 | 4.55 | 8.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 2.05 | 1.67 | |
| 1.35 | 4.65 | 8.60 | 1.79 | 1.99 | 2.08 | 1.65 | |
| 1.36 | 4.50 | 9.00 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 2.15 | 1.67 | |
| 1.36 | 4.80 | 8.79 | 1.79 | 2.02 | — | — | |
| 1.34 | 4.02 | 6.76 | 1.88 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 1.36 | 4.20 | 7.00 | — | — | 2.05 | 1.67 | |
| 1.33 | 4.33 | 8.00 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 1.38 | 4.99 | 9.20 | 1.84 | 2.05 | 2.08 | 1.67 | |
| 1.38 | 4.40 | 7.50 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 2.07 | 1.64 | |
| 1.36 | 4.20 | 7.00 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 2.05 | 1.67 | |
Betano | 1.38 | 4.50 | 8.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 2.00 | 1.72 |
Superbet | 1.42 | 4.60 | 7.60 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 2.20 | 1.63 |
BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.80 | 9.00 | 1.78 | 1.89 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Universitatea Craiova and KuPS shows 0 wins for Universitatea Craiova, 0 wins for KuPS, and 1 draw. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 stalemate, indicating a tightly contested match with no goals scored. This suggests that both teams were evenly matched in that fixture, with neither side able to assert dominance. The absence of any wins or heavy scorelines points to a lack of historical advantage for either team in their limited interactions.
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Ararat-Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WD |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 34 |  Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 |  Union St. Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 36 |  Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonUniversitatea Craiova have won 7 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat KuPS 2-1 and lost to Arges Pitesti 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 2L from the last 16 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
KuPS have won 8 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat KuPS 1-2 and lost to Universitatea Craiova 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 2L from the last 19 games (63% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersUniversitatea Craiova
No reported absences
KuPS
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
N. Minakovic has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Universitatea Craiova have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; KuPS 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Universitatea Craiova have generated 1.36 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Universitatea Craiova player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
