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Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC Prediction, Tips & Odds

Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

UEFA Europa League3rd Qualifying Round
Omonia Nicosia
#27 ยท UEFA Europa League
DWLWL
1 - 0
GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Referee: S. Gishamer
Lincoln Red Imps FC
WLLLD
โ˜… OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games โ€” the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.50
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.42 (implied 70.2%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 72.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.37). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (72.7% vs 70.2%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Omonia Nicosia to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Lincoln Red Imps FC. Omonia Nicosia comes into this match with a mixed form of two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This indicates a relatively stable performance as they seek to advance in the UEFA Europa League. Although the specifics of their league position and season statistics are not available, their recent form suggests they are capable of turning draws into wins. On the other hand, Lincoln Red Imps FC also displays a similar recent form, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This consistency highlights their ability to compete, but it may not be enough against a side like Omonia Nicosia, which has slightly better momentum heading into this fixture. The model output indicates a favourable win probability for Omonia Nicosia, although specific percentages are not provided. A key market percentage to consider would be the implied odds of their victory. However, a potential caveat to this prediction is the pressure of the knockout stage, which could lead to unexpected outcomes. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Omonia Nicosia Win66%1.13
Draw14%8.08
Lincoln Red Imps FC Win20%16.36
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.5254.4%

Omonia Nicosia have kept a clean sheet in 47% of matches. Lincoln Red Imps FC average 2.0 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.4259.7%

Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Omonia Nicosia 2-0 Lincoln Red Imps FC
5.7617.5%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.5% probability.

Asian Handicap
Omonia Nicosia -0.0
1.0360%

Omonia Nicosia have been the stronger side, winning 65% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
5.76
17.5%
3-0
6.01
16.8%
1-0
7.82
12.9%
4-0
8.06
12.5%
2-1
10.01
10.1%
3-1
10.55
9.6%

Our model projects a 2-0 Omonia Nicosia win as the most likely scoreline at 17.5% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Omonia Nicosia clean sheets, in line with their 47% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Omonia Nicosia
-0.0
1.03
Lincoln Red Imps FC
+0.0
15.50

Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Omonia Nicosia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.147.7516.001.442.752.301.53
Marathonbet
1.138.1015.251.392.612.381.50
Betfair
1.118.5018.001.402.882.381.57
Pinnacle
1.138.6518.391.412.82โ€”โ€”
SBO
1.126.4711.56โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”
William Hill
1.128.0015.00โ€”โ€”2.301.55
Bet365
1.147.5013.001.442.622.251.57
1xBet
1.149.7018.001.392.612.381.52
Unibet
1.128.0019.001.472.432.631.41
888Sport
1.138.0015.001.362.802.301.53
Betano
1.157.2016.501.442.672.301.55
Superbet
1.138.7018.001.502.622.621.45
BetVictor
1.118.5019.001.422.592.301.53

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
83.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
59.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
44.8%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XOmonia Nicosia or Draw
80%1.02
12Omonia Nicosia or Lincoln Red Imps FC
86%1.07
X2Draw or Lincoln Red Imps FC
34%5.72

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Omonia Nicosia1 Draw0 Lincoln Red Imps FC
06 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps FC
1-1
Omonia Nicosia
UEFA Europa League

The head-to-head record between Omonia Nicosia and Lincoln Red Imps FC stands at 0 wins for Omonia, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Lincoln. Their only encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a balanced matchup with neither team managing to secure a victory. The scoreline suggests a tightly contested game, with both sides able to find the net but unable to claim all three points. Given the single fixture in the record, it is too early to draw significant conclusions about their rivalry.

UEFA Europa League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Anderlecht
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WWWWW
2
Ararat-Armenia
00000000
WD
3
AZ Alkmaar
00000000
4
Benfica
00000000
WWDWW
5
BeลŸiktaลŸ
00000000
LWWWW
6
Bournemouth
00000000
27
Omonia Nicosia
00000000
WLWD
34
Torreense
00000000
35
Union St. Gilloise
00000000
36
Plzen
00000000
WL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Omonia NicosiaHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 ยท GA 0โ€” pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Omonia NicosiaLincoln Red Imps FC
1.82Goals p.g.2
0.76Goals conceded p.g.0.88
47%Clean sheets31%
65%Win rate69%
2.59Avg goals in match2.88
2.06xG per gameโ€”
51%Possession %โ€”
7.0Shots on target / gameโ€”
4.0Corners per gameโ€”
Omonia Nicosia
Recent Form

Omonia Nicosia have won 8 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Omonia Aradippou 0-0 and beat St. Truiden 4-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 2L from the last 17 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Omonia NicosiaAll competitions
31 Aug
Omonia Nicosia
0-0
Omonia Aradippou
1. Division
27 Aug
Omonia Nicosia
4-2
St. Truiden
UEFA Europa League
20 Aug
St. Truiden
1-0
Omonia Nicosia
UEFA Europa League
13 Aug
Omonia Nicosia
1-0
Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Europa League
29 Jul
Kairat Almaty
1-0
Omonia Nicosia
UEFA Champions League
22 Jul
Omonia Nicosia
1-0
Kairat Almaty
UEFA Champions League
11
Win
65%
4
Draw
24%
2
Lost
12%
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Recent Form

Lincoln Red Imps FC have won 3 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Omonia Nicosia 1-0 and lost to Mjallby AIF 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 2D 3L from the last 16 games (69% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Lincoln Red Imps FCAll competitions
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3-1
St Joseph S Fc
Super Cup
20 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0-2
Larne
UEFA Europa Conference League
13 Aug
Omonia Nicosia
1-0
Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Europa League
21 Jul
Mjallby AIF
3-0
Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Champions League
14 Jul
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1-1
Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Champions League
07 Jul
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3-1
Inter Club d'Escaldes
UEFA Champions League
11
Win
69%
2
Draw
13%
3
Lost
19%

Lineups

๐Ÿ“‹

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Omonia Nicosia

No reported absences

Lincoln Red Imps FC

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Omonia Nicosia Win1.13 (66.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.42 (59.7%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.67 (40.3%)
Both Teams Score2.38 (45.6%)
BTTS No1.52 (54.4%)
Speculative
Draw8.08 (13.8%)
Lincoln Red Imps FC Win16.36 (20%)

Yellow Card Prediction

S. Gishamer has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by S. Gishamer to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Omonia Nicosia average 1.8 goals per match at home; Lincoln Red Imps FC 2.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Omonia Nicosia have generated 2.06 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 65% of them. They put 7.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Omonia Nicosia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.