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Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos JRS Prediction, Tips & Odds

Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos JRS

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 3
Belgrano Cordoba
#5 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WDWDW
VS
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra, Cordoba
Argentinos JRS
#3 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WDWWL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.44
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.38 (implied 72.4%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 74.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.34). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (74.9% vs 72.4%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Argentinos JRS to win this match against Belgrano Cordoba, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned third in the league, Argentinos JRS has shown consistent form throughout the season, with eight wins, five draws, and just three losses from 16 matches. Their goal difference of four, alongside a solid attack and defence, underscores their competitive edge. Belgrano Cordoba, sitting in fifth place, has also had a commendable season with seven wins, five draws, and four losses. Their recent form has been strong, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches. However, they have struggled to score more than their opponents, as evidenced by their equal goals for and against record, which could limit their effectiveness against a higher-ranked team. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 40% for Belgrano Cordoba and 45% for Argentinos JRS, suggesting a tight contest. One key market to note is that Argentinos JRS has a slight edge in the betting odds. However, a potential caveat could be Belgrano's home advantage, which might provide them with the necessary boost to upset the odds. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Belgrano Cordoba Win42%2.51
Draw27%2.87
Argentinos JRS Win31%3.17
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.5759.5%

Belgrano Cordoba have kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches. Argentinos JRS average 1.1 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.3867.9%

Belgrano Cordoba manage games at home, conceding just 0.79 goals per match. Argentinos JRS score 1.13 on the road.

Correct Score
Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 Argentinos JRS
5.4418.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
Belgrano Cordoba -0.5
2.3436%

Belgrano Cordoba have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
5.44
18.4%
1-1
5.63
17.8%
0-0
5.75
17.4%
0-1
6.38
15.7%
2-0
9.86
10.2%
2-1
9.92
10.2%

Our model projects a 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba win as the most likely scoreline at 18.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Belgrano Cordoba clean sheets, in line with their 50% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Belgrano Cordoba
-0.0
1.69
Argentinos JRS
+0.0
2.12
Belgrano Cordoba
-0.3
2.12
Argentinos JRS
+0.3
2.67
Belgrano Cordoba
-0.5
2.34
Argentinos JRS
+0.5
2.97
Belgrano Cordoba
-1.5
5.50
Argentinos JRS
+1.5
7.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Belgrano Cordoba are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos JRS
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.522.903.052.851.422.201.60
Marathonbet
2.472.903.102.851.332.311.53
Betfair
2.502.903.102.881.402.301.60
Pinnacle
2.592.843.213.071.37
William Hill
2.452.753.102.251.57
Bet365
2.502.803.253.101.362.251.57
1xBet
2.522.953.162.851.332.311.55
Unibet
2.482.953.202.801.402.231.58
Betano
2.552.873.252.921.442.221.62
Superbet
2.522.873.302.951.412.301.58
BetVictor
2.502.883.203.101.362.301.53

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
84%
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
32.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
15.2%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBelgrano Cordoba or Draw
69%1.34
12Belgrano Cordoba or Argentinos JRS
73%1.38
X2Draw or Argentinos JRS
58%1.51

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)
3 Belgrano Cordoba4 Draw3 Argentinos JRS
17 May
Argentinos JRS
1-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
03 Feb
Argentinos JRS
0-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 25
Argentinos JRS
1-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 25
Belgrano Cordoba
1-2
Argentinos JRS
Copa Argentina
Apr 25
Belgrano Cordoba
1-1
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jun 24
Belgrano Cordoba
1-0
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 23
Argentinos JRS
3-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 19
Argentinos JRS
0-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Sept 17
Argentinos JRS
1-2
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 15
Belgrano Cordoba
2-1
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina

The head-to-head record between Belgrano Cordoba and Argentinos JRS stands at 3 wins for each team and 4 draws over the last 10 matches. This indicates a balanced rivalry, with no clear dominance from either side. The scorelines reflect a mix of tight contests, with four matches ending in draws and several others decided by a single goal. Notably, the highest margin of victory was Argentinos JRS's 3-0 win in 2023, while Belgrano's largest win in this span was 2-1. Overall, the matches have been closely contested, suggesting that either team can perform well against the other.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
DLDWD
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
LLWDW
2
River Plate
1692522121029
LLLWW
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
LLWWW
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
WLDDD
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
WWLWW
5
Belgrano Cordoba
167541713426
WWWWW
14
Aldosivi
16088619-138
LDDLD
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
LWDWL
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
LWLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Belgrano CordobaHome
4W2D2L
8 playedGF 11 · GA 51.75 pts/game
Argentinos JRSAway
2W2D3L
7 playedGF 7 · GA 91.14 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Belgrano CordobaArgentinos JRS
1.29Goals p.g.1.13
0.79Goals conceded p.g.0.78
50%Clean sheets48%
50%Win rate52%
2.08Avg goals in match1.91
1.06xG per game1.32
0.14xGA per game0.15
50%Possession %61%
3.8Shots on target / game4.8
3.4Corners per game6.1
Belgrano Cordoba
Recent Form

Belgrano Cordoba have won 7 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Rosario Central 2-1 and beat Union Santa Fe 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 4L from the last 24 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Belgrano CordobaAll competitions
23 Jul
Belgrano Cordoba
2-1
Rosario Central
Liga Profesional Argentina
30 May
Gimnasia Jujuy
2-2
Belgrano Cordoba
Copa Argentina
24 May
River Plate
2-3
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
17 May
Argentinos JRS
1-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
12 May
Belgrano Cordoba
2-0
Union Santa Fe
Liga Profesional Argentina
09 May
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
12
Win
50%
8
Draw
33%
4
Lost
17%
Argentinos JRS
Recent Form

Argentinos JRS have won 4 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Argentinos JRS 2-3 and lost to Gimnasia L.P. 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 4L from the last 23 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Argentinos JRSAll competitions
23 Jul
Sarmiento Junin
2-3
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
17 May
Argentinos JRS
1-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
13 May
Argentinos JRS
1-0
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
10 May
Argentinos JRS
2-0
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
03 May
Gimnasia L.P.
2-0
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
28 Apr
Huracan
1-2
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
12
Win
52%
7
Draw
30%
4
Lost
17%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Belgrano Cordoba

No reported absences

Argentinos JRS

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.38 (67.9%)
BTTS No1.57 (59.5%)
Value Bets
Belgrano Cordoba Win2.51 (41.7%)
Draw2.87 (27.3%)
Argentinos JRS Win3.17 (31%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.94 (32.1%)
Both Teams Score2.27 (40.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Belgrano Cordoba have averaged 3.4 corners per match at home; Argentinos JRS 6.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Belgrano Cordoba have generated 1.06 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Belgrano Cordoba player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.