Bologna vs Torino Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bologna vs Torino
Match Preview
The model favours Torino to win this match against Bologna, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Torino currently sits one position above Bologna in the standings, having accumulated three points from their opening three matches, with one win and two losses. Despite a negative goal difference of -1, they have scored four goals, indicating a slightly more potent attack compared to Bologna, who have struggled to find the net consistently. Bologna finds themselves in 15th place with just one point from three games, reflecting a challenging start to their season. They have yet to secure a win, managing only two goals while conceding four, resulting in a goal difference of -2. Their recent form shows one victory in their last five matches, highlighting their difficulties in converting chances into points. The model gives Torino a win probability of around 55%, with a projected score of 1-0. While they have shown some attacking potential, there is a caveat: if Bologna can improve their defensive organization and find a way to convert their chances, they could pose a challenge. The full prediction method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Bologna manage games at home, conceding just 1.38 goals per match. Torino score 1.21 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.
Bologna have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Bologna clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Bologna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Bologna vs Torino| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.94 | 3.36 | 4.30 | 2.17 | 1.70 | 1.92 | 1.79 | |
| 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.91 | |
| 1.98 | 3.32 | 4.48 | 2.25 | 1.71 | — | — | |
| 1.94 | 3.09 | 3.46 | 2.04 | 1.82 | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.00 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.85 | |
| 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 2.00 | 3.50 | 4.37 | 2.24 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.80 | |
Betano | 2.00 | 3.55 | 4.15 | 2.07 | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.90 |
BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Bologna leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Bologna and Torino, Bologna has won 5 times, Torino has won 2, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a relatively competitive rivalry, with several narrow victories; only one match has ended with a margin of more than two goals. Notably, the most recent encounters have been dominated by Bologna, who have not only won the last three fixtures but also kept two clean sheets. Torino's last victory over Bologna came in December 2021, highlighting a shift in momentum favoring Bologna in recent matchups.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 5 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 6 |  Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 14 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 15 | Bologna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 18 |  Venezia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 20 |  Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBologna have won 5 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 9. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Bologna 0-1 and lost to Bologna 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 5D 13L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Torino have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Torino 1-2 and lost to Sassuolo 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 5D 13L from the last 29 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedBologna3-4-3Confirmed
Torino3-5-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersBologna
No reported absences
Torino
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Guida has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Bologna have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Torino 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bologna have generated 1.08 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 3.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bologna player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
