Brann vs Ham-Kam Prediction, Tips & Odds
Brann vs Ham-Kam
Match Preview
The model favours Brann to win against Ham-Kam, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Brann currently sits in 6th place in the Eliteserien, having secured 22 points from 16 matches with a record of 7 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses. Their goal-scoring has been relatively strong, with 33 goals scored, reflecting an average of over two goals per match. In their last five matches, they have shown resilience, winning three and drawing one, which indicates a positive trend in form. Ham-Kam, positioned just behind in 8th place with 21 points from 15 matches, has had a more challenging run recently. With a record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, their goal difference stands at -3, having conceded more goals than they have scored. Their recent form has been disappointing, with just one win in their last five matches, which raises concerns about their current competitiveness. The model gives Brann a win probability of approximately 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is that Brann is favoured to win with a 60% implied probability in the betting markets. However, if Ham-Kam can improve their defensive organisation and regain their earlier season form, they could pose a threat. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.
Brann have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Brann win as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Brann clean sheets, in line with their 5% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Brann are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Brann vs Ham-Kam| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.53 | 4.40 | 5.20 | 1.48 | 2.65 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
| 1.54 | 4.10 | 5.60 | 1.48 | 2.34 | 1.58 | 2.20 | |
| 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 1.60 | 4.26 | 5.76 | 1.56 | 2.53 | — | — | |
| 1.52 | 4.06 | 4.53 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.25 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.58 | 4.20 | 5.73 | 1.48 | 2.34 | 1.58 | 2.23 | |
| 1.50 | 4.25 | 5.50 | 1.46 | 2.45 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.20 | 1.53 | 2.47 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.00 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Brann leads 6-0)In the last seven matches between Brann and Ham-Kam, Brann has won six times, with one draw and no wins for Ham-Kam. This record indicates a strong dominance by Brann, highlighted by several decisive victories, including a 5-1 win and a 3-1 win. The scorelines reflect a tendency for Brann to secure narrow wins, but also exhibit the capability for heavier victories. The lone draw occurred in a low-scoring match, suggesting that when Ham-Kam has managed to avoid defeat, it has been in tightly contested encounters. Ham-Kam has not won against Brann in their last seven meetings.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 31 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 40 | LWWDW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Molde | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 27 | WLDWL |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 | DLLLW |
| 6 | Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 | LDWLL |
| 14 |  Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | LWLLD |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 15 | DDLDL |
| 16 |  Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 10 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBrann have won 8 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include beat Brann 3-0 and lost to Brann 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 15L from the last 37 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Ham-Kam have won 3 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Ham-Kam 3-0 and beat Valerenga 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 13L from the last 30 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
10 playersBrann7
Ham-Kam3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
U. Aslam has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Brann have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; Ham-Kam 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Brann have generated 1.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brann player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
