Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Rosenborg, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Bodo/Glimt currently sits at the top of the Eliteserien table, having accumulated 41 points from 17 matches. Their impressive record of 13 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses highlights their dominance, bolstered by a goal difference of 31. With 43 goals scored and only 12 conceded, they showcase a strong offensive and defensive performance that positions them as clear title contenders. Rosenborg, on the other hand, is in 7th place with 24 points from the same number of matches. Their season has been inconsistent, marked by 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses. With a goal difference of just 3, they have managed to score 25 goals while conceding 22, which indicates vulnerabilities in their defence. This inconsistency could pose challenges as they face a top-performing side like Bodo/Glimt. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 65% for Bodo/Glimt, suggesting they are strong favourites in this matchup. One potential caveat is that if Rosenborg can exploit any defensive lapses, they may be able to score, which could change the dynamic of the game. For a deeper understanding of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team is committed to delivering precise insights based on data-driven analysis.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.2% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 77% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 12.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Bodo/Glimt clean sheets, in line with their 44% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.35 | 5.40 | 6.80 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.50 | 2.35 | |
| 1.32 | 5.55 | 7.40 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.53 | 2.31 | |
| 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 1.34 | 6.06 | 7.87 | 1.34 | 3.40 | — | — | |
| 1.33 | 5.22 | 6.28 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.00 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 1.38 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.35 | 5.69 | 7.55 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.53 | 2.35 | |
| 1.37 | 5.20 | 6.75 | 1.36 | 2.80 | 1.54 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 1.36 | 5.30 | 6.90 | 1.35 | 3.05 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
Superbet | 1.36 | 5.40 | 6.40 | 1.33 | 3.15 | 1.54 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.50 | 1.30 | 3.20 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 3-2)In the last 10 encounters between Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg, Bodo/Glimt has won 3 times, there have been 5 draws, and Rosenborg has secured 2 victories. The matches have often been closely contested, with half resulting in draws, including three games ending in 2-2. Bodo/Glimt has recorded a significant 4-0 win, indicating their potential for heavy victories, while Rosenborg's largest win in this period was a narrow 3-2. Overall, the record suggests a competitive rivalry with no team consistently dominating in recent fixtures.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBodo/Glimt have won 17 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Bodo/Glimt 4-2 and beat Bodo/Glimt 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 30W 5D 4L from the last 39 games (77% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Rosenborg have won 3 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Bodo/Glimt 4-2 and beat National Kameratene 0-9.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 14L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedBodo/Glimt4-3-3Confirmed
Rosenborg4-1-3-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
10 playersBodo/Glimt7
Rosenborg3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
O. Nilsen has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Bodo/Glimt have averaged 5.7 corners per match at home; Rosenborg 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 1.98 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 77% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
