Sandefjord vs Brann Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sandefjord vs Brann
Match Preview
The model favours Brann to win this match against Sandefjord, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Brann currently sits in 6th place in the Eliteserien standings, having amassed 25 points from 17 matches. Their season has been marked by a strong attacking output, with 36 goals scored, showcasing their ability to find the back of the net consistently. Despite a recent loss, their form remains solid, with four wins in their last five matches. On the other hand, Sandefjord finds itself struggling in 13th place, with only 18 points from their 17 games. Their recent form has been particularly concerning, managing just one win in their last five outings, which includes four consecutive losses. With 15 goals scored and 23 conceded, they are facing challenges both in attack and defense, further complicating their efforts to climb the standings. The model gives Brann a win probability of 60%, with the projected score being 2-1. A key market percentage to note is their likelihood to cover the spread. However, one caveat is Sandefjord's potential for an upset, particularly if they can capitalize on any defensive lapses from Brann. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team details their in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
Brann have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Brann are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sandefjord vs Brann| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 2.65 | |
| 3.12 | 3.88 | 2.02 | 1.41 | 2.54 | 1.41 | 2.64 | |
| 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.88 | |
| 3.29 | 4.00 | 2.09 | 1.46 | 2.80 | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.57 | 2.06 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.05 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.70 | |
| 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 3.20 | 3.98 | 2.07 | 1.41 | 2.54 | 1.41 | 2.69 | |
| 3.15 | 3.70 | 2.08 | 1.46 | 2.48 | 1.41 | 2.60 | |
Betano | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.07 | 1.47 | 2.57 | 1.42 | 2.67 |
Superbet | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.07 | 1.44 | 2.65 | 1.39 | 2.75 |
BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Brann leads 4-1)In the last 10 matches between Sandefjord and Brann, the record shows Sandefjord with 1 win, 4 draws, and Brann with 4 wins. The scorelines indicate a fairly competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow and heavier victories. Notably, Brann has achieved three wins by a margin of two or more goals, suggesting they have had the upper hand in terms of goal difference. Sandefjord's last victory over Brann came in April 2026, highlighting a significant gap since they last claimed a win in this matchup.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 |  Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 7 | Brann | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 26 | LDWWL |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 | DDWLL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSandefjord have won 9 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Viking 1-1 and drew with Brann 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 10L from the last 31 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Brann have won 7 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Sandefjord 0-0 and beat Fyllingen 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 16L from the last 40 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSandefjord4-1-4-1Confirmed
Brann4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
12 playersSandefjord6
Brann6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Grotta has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Sandefjord have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; Brann 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Brann have generated 1.22 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brann player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
