Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK Prediction, Tips & Odds
Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK
Match Preview
The model favours Ham-Kam to win against Kristiansund BK, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Ham-Kam currently sits in 10th place in the Eliteserien, having amassed 22 points from 17 matches. Their season has been a mix of results, with six wins, four draws, and seven losses. The team has scored 24 goals but conceded 30, leading to a goal difference of -6. Despite a recent dip in form, winning only one of their last five matches, they remain the stronger side in the standings. On the other hand, Kristiansund BK is struggling in 14th position, with only 15 points from their 17 games. Their record shows four wins, three draws, and ten losses, with a goal tally of 15 and 27 conceded, resulting in a goal difference of -12. Their recent form is concerning, having secured just one win in their last five matches, and they are currently facing challenges both in attack and defense. The model suggests Ham-Kam has a win probability of around 60%, while Kristiansund BK's chances sit at about 25%. One key market statistic to consider is the likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. However, a potential caveat for Ham-Kam is their recent inconsistency, which could lead to an upset if they do not find their rhythm. For a detailed breakdown of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis has been prepared by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
Ham-Kam have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Ham-Kam are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.85 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 1.80 | 3.88 | 3.86 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.56 | 2.24 | |
| 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.10 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 1.88 | 3.65 | 4.36 | 1.65 | 2.31 | — | — | |
| 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.47 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.70 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.84 | 3.97 | 3.95 | 1.64 | 2.28 | 1.56 | 2.28 | |
| 1.80 | 3.85 | 3.95 | 1.57 | 2.20 | 1.55 | 2.23 | |
Betano | 1.85 | 3.65 | 3.90 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
Superbet | 1.88 | 3.70 | 3.75 | 1.59 | 2.27 | 1.53 | 2.35 |
BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Ham-Kam leads 3-2)The head-to-head record between Ham-Kam and Kristiansund BK stands at 3 wins for Ham-Kam, 3 draws, and 2 wins for Kristiansund BK over the last 8 matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several tight matches, including three draws and a mix of narrow victories on both sides. Notably, the last six encounters have been decided by a margin of one goal or ended in a draw, suggesting that neither team has a distinct advantage in recent matchups. The last win for Kristiansund BK came in July 2022, highlighting a period of struggle against Ham-Kam since then.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 |  Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 23 | LDLDW |
| 13 | Kristiansund BK | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 19 | WDLWL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHam-Kam have won 8 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Ham-Kam 2-2 and lost to Ham-Kam 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 14L from the last 32 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Kristiansund BK have won 3 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Kristiansund BK 2-2 and beat Trønder-Lyn 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 15L from the last 31 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHam-Kam5-3-2Confirmed
Kristiansund BK4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
6 playersHam-Kam3
Kristiansund BK3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Sletner has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by S. Sletner to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Ham-Kam have averaged 3.4 corners per match at home; Kristiansund BK 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Ham-Kam have generated 1.05 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Ham-Kam player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.