Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF


Match Preview
The model favours Tromso to win against Sarpsborg 08 FF, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tromso currently sits in 3rd place in the Eliteserien, having accumulated 34 points from 17 matches with a record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses. Their goal difference of +14 reflects a strong attacking and defensive performance, highlighted by scoring 34 goals while conceding 20. Despite a recent dip in form with two losses in their last five matches, their overall season performance positions them as a formidable opponent. On the other hand, Sarpsborg 08 FF is positioned 9th in the standings with 22 points from the same number of matches. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, along with a negative goal difference of -3, indicates struggles both offensively and defensively, having scored 20 goals and conceded 23. Their recent form, featuring only one win in the last five matches, suggests they are struggling to find consistency, which could be a concern going into this match. According to the model, Tromso has a win probability of approximately 60%, while Sarpsborg's chances sit at around 20%. One key market to consider is the expectation for Tromso to score at least two goals. However, a potential caveat for Tromso is their recent inconsistency, which could allow Sarpsborg to capitalize if they find form. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)



















The head-to-head record between Tromso and Sarpsborg 08 FF stands at 4 wins for each team, with 2 draws in their last 10 matches. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with both teams achieving narrow victories as well as some heavy wins, such as Tromso's 4-0 win and Sarpsborg's 5-2 victory. The presence of two draws suggests competitive matchups, while the recurring scorelines, including a 3-3 draw, highlight moments of high scoring. Overall, the record reflects a balanced rivalry, with neither side having an extended period of dominance in recent encounters.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 31 | 41 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 40 | LWWDW | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 | LWWWD | |
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 27 | WLDWL | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 | DLLLW | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 25 | WWLWW | |
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 | LLDWD | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | LWLLD | |
| 15 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 15 | DDLDL | |
| 16 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 10 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Tromso have won 12 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tromso 2-1 and lost to Tromso 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 6D 8L from the last 32 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.













Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 4 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Viking 2-1 and drew with Molde 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 10L from the last 27 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Tromso
No reported absences
Sarpsborg 08 FF
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.





