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Celtic vs Lask Linz Prediction, Tips & Odds

Celtic vs Lask Linz

UEFA Champions LeaguePlay-offs
Celtic
WWWLW
3 - 0
Celtic Park, Glasgow
Referee: S. Scharer
Lask Linz
#15 · UEFA Champions League
WWWWL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 (implied 61.6%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 64.1% probability (an expert ratio of 1.56). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (64.1% vs 61.6%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Celtic to win against Lask Linz, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Celtic has had a mixed start to the season, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This form, while not ideal, shows their ability to compete, particularly at home where they will be looking to leverage the support of their fans. In contrast, Lask Linz enters this match with a stronger recent performance, having won three of their last five games, although they did suffer two losses in that stretch. This inconsistency may prove challenging as they face a Celtic side that is typically formidable on their home turf. Lask's recent form suggests they can be competitive, but they will need to maintain their momentum against a historically strong opponent. The model gives Celtic a win probability of approximately 60%, with the projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if Lask can secure an early goal, it could change the dynamics of the match significantly. For a deeper understanding of how the prediction was reached, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Celtic Win53%1.71
Draw21%3.94
Lask Linz Win27%4.45
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6062.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6262.8%

Combined goal output is high (4.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Celtic 1-1 Lask Linz
7.0314.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Celtic -0.5
1.6947%

Celtic have been the stronger side, winning 69% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
7.03
14.3%
2-1
7.37
13.7%
1-0
7.93
12.7%
2-0
8.50
11.9%
3-1
11.28
9.0%
2-2
12.22
8.4%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Celtic
-0.0
1.29
Lask Linz
+0.0
3.40
Celtic
-0.5
1.69
Lask Linz
+0.5
4.08
Celtic
-1.5
2.88
Lask Linz
+1.5
9.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Celtic are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Celtic vs Lask Linz
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.713.954.301.622.251.572.20
Marathonbet
1.734.154.701.632.311.602.19
Betfair
1.653.754.401.572.251.572.25
Pinnacle
1.714.124.611.632.33
SBO
1.693.844.271.602.35
William Hill
1.703.754.331.622.15
Bet365
1.653.904.201.652.201.672.10
1xBet
1.754.124.721.672.341.602.22
Unibet
1.703.804.601.612.201.582.20
888Sport
1.703.754.331.622.201.622.15
Betano
1.804.104.501.672.251.622.20
Superbet
1.754.004.351.632.271.622.25
BetVictor
1.704.004.601.582.181.572.25

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
79.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
62.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
36.8%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XCeltic or Draw
73%1.19
12Celtic or Lask Linz
79%1.23
X2Draw or Lask Linz
47%2.08

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Celtic leads 1-0)
1 Celtic0 Draw0 Lask Linz
19 Aug
Celtic
3-0
Lask Linz
UEFA Champions League

Celtic has a head-to-head record of 1 win and 0 draws against Lask Linz, with no victories for the latter. The lone match between them ended in a convincing 3-0 win for Celtic, indicating a one-sided affair. This scoreline suggests that Celtic was dominant throughout the match, reflecting a significant gap in performance. As Lask Linz has not managed to secure a win in their only meeting, it highlights a challenging historical context for them in this matchup.

UEFA Champions League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AEK Athens FC
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WD
2
Arsenal
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3
Aston Villa
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4
Atletico Madrid
00000000
5
Borussia Dortmund
00000000
6
Barcelona
00000000
15
Lask Linz
00000000
WL
34
VfB Stuttgart
00000000
35
Viking
00000000
WD
36
Villarreal
00000000

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Lask LinzAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
CelticLask Linz
2.06Goals p.g.2.67
1.28Goals conceded p.g.1.19
25%Clean sheets28%
69%Win rate67%
3.34Avg goals in match3.86
1.96xG per game2.27
-0.50xGA per game0.07
62%Possession %48%
5.2Shots on target / game7.4
7.0Corners per game5.8
Celtic
Recent Form

Celtic have won 14 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Celtic 3-0 and beat Celtic 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 22W 5D 5L from the last 32 games (69% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CelticAll competitions
05 Sept
ST Mirren
1-2
Celtic
Premiership
02 Sept
Celtic
3-0
Aberdeen
Premiership
29 Aug
Celtic
2-1
Falkirk
Premiership
25 Aug
Lask Linz
5-1
Celtic
UEFA Champions League
19 Aug
Celtic
3-0
Lask Linz
UEFA Champions League
15 Aug
Dundee Utd
0-4
Celtic
League Cup
22
Win
69%
5
Draw
16%
5
Lost
16%
Lask Linz
Recent Form

Lask Linz have won 10 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Lask Linz 1-6 and beat Wolfsberger AC 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 24W 5D 7L from the last 36 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Lask LinzAll competitions
05 Sept
Deutschlandsberger SC
1-6
Lask Linz
Cup
01 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
1-3
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
29 Aug
Lask Linz
3-0
SCR Altach
Bundesliga
25 Aug
Lask Linz
5-1
Celtic
UEFA Champions League
19 Aug
Celtic
3-0
Lask Linz
UEFA Champions League
14 Aug
Lask Linz
4-1
Ried
Bundesliga
24
Win
67%
5
Draw
14%
7
Lost
19%

Lineups

Confirmed

Celtic4-3-3Confirmed

51Colby DonovanDEF
6Auston TrustyDEF
20Cameron Carter-VickersDEF
63Kieran TierneyDEF
11Camilo DuránFWD
9Kasper HøghFWD
13Yang Hyun-JunFWD
1Viljami SinisaloGK
42Callum McGregorMID
22Mika BaurMID
8Benjamin NygrenMID
47Dane MurrayDEF
5Liam ScalesDEF
56Tony RalstonDEF
24Johnny KennyFWD
17Sebastian TounektiFWD
23Haissem HassanFWD
10Michel Ange BalikwishaFWD
19Callum OsmandFWD
31Ross DoohanGK
41Reo HatateMID
14Luke McCowanMID
49James ForrestMID

Lask Linz3-5-2Confirmed

16Andrés AndradeDEF
43AlemãoDEF
4Xavier MbuyambaDEF
7Samuel AdeniranFWD
8Moses UsorFWD
1Lukas JungwirthGK
9Krystof DaněkMID
10Robert LjubičićMID
30Sascha HorvathMID
2George BelloMID
20Kasper JørgensenMID
6Melayro BogardeDEF
21Manoël VerhaegheDEF
25Yvan DibangoDEF
3Miguel FreckletonDEF
29Florian FleckerFWD
27Christoph LangFWD
33Tobias SchützenauerGK
50Fabian SchillingerGK
5Art SmakajMID
18Alessandro SchöpfMID

Unavailable Players

4 players

Celtic3

A. Johnston
Missing FixtureInactive
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
Missing FixtureRed Card
Jota
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

Lask Linz1

R. Harakate
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.62 (62.8%)
Both Teams Score1.60 (62.3%)
Value Bets
Celtic Win1.71 (52.8%)
Lask Linz Win4.45 (26.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.26 (37.2%)
BTTS No2.20 (37.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.94 (20.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

S. Scharer has averaged 3.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Celtic have averaged 7.0 corners per match at home; Lask Linz 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Celtic have generated 1.96 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 69% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Celtic player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.