NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Tips & Odds
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win this match against NEC Nijmegen, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Bodo/Glimt has shown impressive form recently, securing four wins and a draw in their last five matches. This consistent performance highlights their ability to convert chances, making them a formidable opponent. On the other hand, NEC Nijmegen has struggled, achieving only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five fixtures. This dip in form could hinder their confidence and ability to compete effectively against a strong side like Bodo/Glimt. According to the model's output, Bodo/Glimt has a significantly higher win probability for this match. However, a key caveat is that NEC Nijmegen could capitalize on any defensive lapses from Bodo/Glimt, which may result in a tighter contest than anticipated. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.8% probability.
NEC Nijmegen have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. NEC Nijmegen are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.46 | 3.90 | 2.46 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.38 | 2.75 | |
| 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.49 | 1.39 | 2.61 | 1.37 | 2.80 | |
| 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.30 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 2.88 | |
| 2.51 | 3.86 | 2.51 | 1.43 | 2.76 | — | — | |
| 2.35 | 3.41 | 2.31 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.40 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.45 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 2.61 | 3.86 | 2.60 | 1.39 | 2.61 | 1.37 | 2.86 | |
| 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.45 | 1.43 | 2.65 | 1.38 | 2.75 | |
| 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 1.40 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
Betano | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.90 | 2.50 | 1.43 | 2.57 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonNEC Nijmegen have won 9 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat NEC Nijmegen 2-1 and lost to NEC Nijmegen 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 9L from the last 30 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Bodo/Glimt have won 11 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Valerenga 1-2 and drew with Union St. Gilloise 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 27W 5D 4L from the last 36 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNEC Nijmegen
No reported absences
Bodo/Glimt
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
NEC Nijmegen have averaged 7.9 corners per match at home; Bodo/Glimt 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
NEC Nijmegen have generated 2.07 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 6.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. NEC Nijmegen player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
