NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Tips & Odds
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win this match against NEC Nijmegen, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Bodo/Glimt has shown impressive form recently, securing four wins and a draw in their last five matches. This consistent performance highlights their ability to convert chances, making them a formidable opponent. On the other hand, NEC Nijmegen has struggled, achieving only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five fixtures. This dip in form could hinder their confidence and ability to compete effectively against a strong side like Bodo/Glimt. According to the model's output, Bodo/Glimt has a significantly higher win probability for this match. However, a key caveat is that NEC Nijmegen could capitalize on any defensive lapses from Bodo/Glimt, which may result in a tighter contest than anticipated. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.5% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 78% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.60 | 3.85 | 2.34 | 1.40 | 2.90 | 1.35 | 2.90 | |
| 2.69 | 3.72 | 2.32 | 1.36 | 2.72 | 1.34 | 2.93 | |
| 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.30 | 1.36 | 2.88 | 1.33 | 3.00 | |
| 2.79 | 3.79 | 2.40 | 1.42 | 2.90 | — | — | |
| 2.56 | 3.63 | 2.36 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.36 | 2.90 | |
| 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.30 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 2.78 | 3.88 | 2.45 | 1.36 | 2.72 | 1.34 | 2.99 | |
| 2.75 | 3.65 | 2.28 | 1.38 | 2.85 | 1.32 | 3.00 | |
| 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.40 | 2.80 | 1.36 | 2.90 | |
Betano | 2.65 | 3.85 | 2.42 | 1.44 | 2.87 | 1.38 | 2.92 |
Superbet | 2.67 | 3.75 | 2.45 | 1.43 | 2.85 | 1.39 | 2.95 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 1.41 | 2.63 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt stands at 0 wins for NEC Nijmegen, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Bodo/Glimt. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating a tightly contested match with neither side able to secure a victory. The lack of goals suggests a defensive approach from both teams, leading to a low-scoring outcome. With only one match played, it remains to be seen how future fixtures will unfold, but currently, neither team has the upper hand in their historical meetings.
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WD |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | Bodo/Glimt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WWWD |
| 34 |  VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 |  Viking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WD |
| 36 |  Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNEC Nijmegen have won 9 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Feyenoord 1-3 and lost to Bodo/Glimt 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 11L from the last 33 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Bodo/Glimt have won 13 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Bodo/Glimt 1-2 and beat Fauske Sprint 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 31W 5D 4L from the last 40 games (78% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedNEC Nijmegen3-4-2-1Confirmed
Bodo/Glimt4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
8 playersNEC Nijmegen4
Bodo/Glimt4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
F. Letexier has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
NEC Nijmegen have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Bodo/Glimt 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 1.98 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 78% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
