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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA Prediction, Tips & Odds

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA

UEFA Champions LeaguePlay-offs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
DWLWL
2 - 1
Superbet Arena - Giulesti, Bucharest
Referee: D. Massa
Sabah FA
#30 · UEFA Champions League
WWWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 (implied 60.9%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 63.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.58). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (63.4% vs 60.9%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Hapoel Beer Sheva to win against Sabah FA, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Hapoel Beer Sheva has shown a mixed bag of form recently, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could hinder their performance, but their ability to secure victories suggests they still have the potential to compete at a high level. On the other hand, Sabah FA has been in strong form, winning four of their last five matches. This upward trend could provide them with the confidence needed to challenge Hapoel Beer Sheva. However, they have faced a tougher road in their recent matches, which may impact their performance against a team with more European experience. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Hapoel Beer Sheva, while projecting a score of 2-1. One key market to consider is the over/under goals, which might lean towards the over given both teams' recent scoring trends. A potential caveat for Hapoel Beer Sheva is their inconsistency, which could lead to unexpected lapses in performance. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win45%2.33
Draw24%3.24
Sabah FA Win32%3.01
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6460.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.8357.8%

Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-1 Sabah FA
5.8517.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Hapoel Beer Sheva -0.5
2.2039%

Hapoel Beer Sheva have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.85
17.3%
1-0
7.97
12.7%
2-1
8.29
12.3%
0-1
9.32
10.9%
1-2
9.69
10.5%
0-0
9.66
10.5%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Hapoel Beer Sheva
-0.0
1.68
Sabah FA
+0.0
2.17
Hapoel Beer Sheva
-0.3
2.05
Sabah FA
+0.3
2.62
Hapoel Beer Sheva
-0.5
2.20
Sabah FA
+0.5
2.91
Hapoel Beer Sheva
-1.5
4.50
Sabah FA
+1.5
6.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Hapoel Beer Sheva are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.323.352.941.802.001.602.15
Marathonbet
2.333.203.021.831.941.632.11
Betfair
2.253.103.001.801.911.652.10
Pinnacle
2.383.343.141.862.01
SBO
2.313.222.891.881.98
William Hill
2.303.102.901.672.10
Bet365
2.383.102.801.802.001.672.10
1xBet
2.423.363.181.902.011.632.14
Unibet
2.253.353.201.841.831.672.02
888Sport
2.303.102.901.801.911.672.10
Betano
2.373.353.001.832.021.622.22
Superbet
2.403.303.051.851.971.652.20
BetVictor
2.303.303.101.781.891.602.15

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
74.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
57.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
31.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XHapoel Beer Sheva or Draw
68%1.35
12Hapoel Beer Sheva or Sabah FA
77%1.31
X2Draw or Sabah FA
55%1.57

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Hapoel Beer Sheva0 Draw0 Sabah FA
19 Aug
Hapoel Beer Sheva
-
Sabah FA
UEFA Champions League

The head-to-head record between Hapoel Beer Sheva and Sabah FA stands at one match played, with no wins or draws for either side. In their sole encounter on August 19, 2026, the match ended in a scoreless draw. This suggests a tightly contested matchup, with neither team able to break the deadlock. Since there is only one match in their history, it is difficult to draw any broader conclusions about a trend or pattern, but the absence of goals indicates a potentially low-scoring dynamic when these teams meet.

UEFA Champions League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AEK Athens FC
00000000
WD
2
Arsenal
00000000
3
Aston Villa
00000000
4
Atletico Madrid
00000000
5
Borussia Dortmund
00000000
6
Barcelona
00000000
30
Sabah FA
00000000
WLWLW
34
VfB Stuttgart
00000000
35
Viking
00000000
WD
36
Villarreal
00000000

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Sabah FAAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Hapoel Beer ShevaSabah FA
1.89Goals p.g.2
2.06Goals conceded p.g.0.96
17%Clean sheets42%
44%Win rate67%
3.94Avg goals in match2.96
69%Possession %53%
7.0Shots on target / game6.7
5.0Corners per game5.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Recent Form

Hapoel Beer Sheva have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Hapoel Haifa 2-2 and beat Sabah FA 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 3D 7L from the last 18 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Hapoel Beer ShevaAll competitions
02 Sept
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2-2
Hapoel Haifa
Ligat Ha'al
29 Aug
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1-2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ligat Ha'al
25 Aug
Sabah FA
5-2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Champions League
19 Aug
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2-1
Sabah FA
UEFA Champions League
15 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
4-0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Toto Cup Ligat Al
11 Aug
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Champions League
8
Win
44%
3
Draw
17%
7
Lost
39%
Sabah FA
Recent Form

Sabah FA have won 7 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Araz 0-1 and lost to Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 16W 3D 5L from the last 24 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Sabah FAAll competitions
05 Sept
Sabah FA
5-0
Zira
Premyer Liqa
31 Aug
Araz
0-1
Sabah FA
Premyer Liqa
25 Aug
Sabah FA
5-2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Champions League
19 Aug
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2-1
Sabah FA
UEFA Champions League
15 Aug
Sabah FA
2-0
Kapaz
Premyer Liqa
11 Aug
Sabah FA
4-0
Aarhus
UEFA Champions League
16
Win
67%
3
Draw
13%
5
Lost
21%

Lineups

Confirmed

Hapoel Beer Sheva4-3-3Confirmed

4Miguel VítorDEF
12Itay RotmanDEF
2Guy MizrahiDEF
5Pedro AmadorDEF
9Zahi AhmedFWD
66Igor ZlatanovićFWD
20Javon EastFWD
1Ofir MarcianoGK
7Eliel PeretzMID
25Lucas VenturaMID
28Niv YehoshuaMID
3Matan BaltaxaDEF
13Ofir DavidzadaDEF
44Djibril DiopDEF
11Amir Chaim GanahFWD
8Hamode KanaanFWD
45Mohamad Abu RumiFWD
19Amit OhanaFWD
14Yonas MaledeFWD
34Marco WolffGK
18Roy LevyMID
27Yoni StoyanovMID
23Itay HazutMID

Sabah FA4-2-3-1Confirmed

27Tymoteusz PuchaczDEF
3Steve SolvetDEF
80Akim ZedadkaDEF
5Rahman DashdamirovDEF
20Joy Lance MickelsFWD
92Stas PokatilovGK
7Umarali RakhmonalievMID
13Ivan LepinjicaMID
34Xander SeverinaMID
10Aleksey IsayevMID
21Veljko SimićMID
33Júnior AlmeidaDEF
17Tellur MutallimovDEF
4Aden McCarthyDEF
8Christian NwachukwuFWD
99Patrick Orphe M'BinaFWD
23Younes LachaabFWD
94Ravan MirzammadovGK
1Amin RamazanovGK
6Abdulakh KhaybulaevMID
11Kaheem ParrisMID
16Rauf RustamliMID
88Rodrigo FernandesMID

Unavailable Players

3 players

Hapoel Beer Sheva2

D. Biton
Missing FixtureHeart Problems
Joao Victor
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury

Sabah FA1

K. Aliyev
Missing FixtureTendon Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.83 (57.8%)
Both Teams Score1.64 (60.2%)
Value Bets
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win2.33 (44.7%)
Sabah FA Win3.01 (31.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.96 (42.2%)
BTTS No2.13 (39.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.24 (23.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

D. Massa has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Hapoel Beer Sheva have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Sabah FA 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Hapoel Beer Sheva have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 44% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. They put 7.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Hapoel Beer Sheva player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.