CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Prediction, Tips & Odds
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
Match Preview
The model favours Inter Miami to win this match against CF Montreal, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Inter Miami currently sits in a strong second position in the league standings, having accumulated 31 points from 15 matches. With nine wins, four draws, and just two losses, their form has been impressive, particularly with 39 goals scored, demonstrating their attacking prowess. On the other hand, CF Montreal finds themselves in 11th place, having only 14 points from 14 matches. Their season has been challenging, with a record of four wins, two draws, and eight losses. While they have shown some resilience with two wins and two draws in their last five matches, their goal difference of -9 indicates ongoing defensive struggles that could be exploited by a high-scoring team like Miami. The model suggests a win probability of 65% for Inter Miami, reflecting their superior form and league position. However, a potential caveat for Miami could be complacency, as they face a team lower in the standings. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.4% probability.
Inter Miami have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Inter Miami are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.72 | 3.95 | 2.22 | 1.38 | 3.00 | 1.33 | 3.00 | |
| 2.82 | 3.90 | 2.17 | 1.34 | 2.80 | 1.34 | 2.93 | |
| 2.80 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 3.10 | |
| 2.93 | 4.08 | 2.23 | 1.40 | 3.05 | — | — | |
| 2.84 | 3.79 | 2.11 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.75 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.35 | 3.00 | |
| 2.88 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 3.00 | 3.95 | 2.08 | 1.36 | 3.05 | 1.34 | 3.00 | |
Betano | 2.87 | 4.00 | 2.22 | 1.40 | 2.95 | 1.37 | 2.95 |
Superbet | 2.85 | 4.00 | 2.22 | 1.40 | 3.00 | 1.37 | 2.92 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 4.00 | 2.15 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.30 | 3.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Inter Miami leads 5-4)The head-to-head record between CF Montreal and Inter Miami stands at 4 wins for CF Montreal, 1 draw, and 5 wins for Inter Miami over the last 10 matches. This indicates a closely contested rivalry, with Inter Miami holding a slight edge. The scorelines reflect a mix of tight encounters and a few higher-scoring matches, with no team consistently dominating. Notably, Inter Miami has won four of the last five meetings, suggesting recent success. CF Montreal's most recent victory was in 2024, highlighting that Inter Miami has been the more successful side in recent matchups.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 33 | DLWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 39 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 37 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 33 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 33 | DLWLL |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 29 | WDLWL |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 15 | LLDDL |
| 14 |  Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 15 |  Atlanta United FC | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 14 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCF Montreal have won 5 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Inter Miami 0-1 and drew with Toronto FC 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 14L from the last 27 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Inter Miami have won 9 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Cincinnati 3-5 and beat Toronto FC 2-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 3L from the last 23 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedCF Montreal4-3-3Confirmed
Inter Miami4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
12 playersCF Montreal4
Inter Miami8
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Alexis Da Silva has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Alexis Da Silva to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
CF Montreal have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Inter Miami 6.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Inter Miami have generated 2.66 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 57% of them. They put 7.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Inter Miami player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
