CF Montreal vs Nashville SC Prediction, Tips & Odds
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
Match Preview
The model favours Nashville SC to win against CF Montreal, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Nashville currently sits at the top of the league standings, showcasing an impressive season with 19 wins from 28 matches. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a total of 59 goals scored, while their defence has been solid, conceding only 22 goals, resulting in a goal difference of +37. Nashville's recent form of three wins and two draws in their last five matches further emphasises their strong position heading into this matchup. On the other hand, CF Montreal finds themselves in 15th place, having struggled throughout the season with just 6 wins and a total of 24 points. Their goal difference of -21 indicates significant defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded 56 goals while only scoring 35. With two wins and three losses in their last five matches, Montreal's inconsistency poses a challenge as they face a top-performing team like Nashville. The model provides Nashville SC with a win probability of approximately 70%, underscoring their dominance in the league. However, a potential caveat for this prediction could be an unexpected dip in form or injuries affecting key players. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.1% probability.
Nashville SC have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Nashville SC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Nashville SC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.59 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.60 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 4.87 | 4.37 | 1.61 | 1.60 | 2.35 | — | — | |
| 4.36 | 3.76 | 1.54 | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.62 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
Betano | 4.90 | 4.20 | 1.65 | 1.62 | 2.37 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Nashville SC leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between CF Montreal and Nashville SC, Nashville has won 5 times, CF Montreal has won once, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with a mix of close contests and a few decisive victories, as seen in Nashville's 3-0 and 4-1 wins. While the matches have often been tight, with three draws and several one-goal margins, Nashville's recent dominance is evident, as CF Montreal's last victory came in June 2023. Overall, the head-to-head record leans in favor of Nashville, highlighting their recent strength in this matchup.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64 | 23 | 41 | 67 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 55 | WDDLD |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 51 | LDWWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 55 | WWWLD |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 52 | WWLLW |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 51 | DWLWD |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 31 | LLLDD |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 75 | -39 | 22 | LLDLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCF Montreal have won 7 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Atlanta United FC 0-3 and beat FC Cincinnati 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 20L from the last 39 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Nashville SC have won 8 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Nashville SC 1-1 and beat Austin 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 24W 11D 8L from the last 43 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
7 playersCF Montreal5
Nashville SC2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
CF Montreal have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Nashville SC 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Nashville SC have generated 2.26 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 6.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Nashville SC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
