Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional Prediction, Tips & Odds
Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional
Match Preview
The model favours Internacional to win this match against Chapecoense-sc, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Internacional currently sits in 17th place with 25 points, having secured 5 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses from 24 matches. Their goal difference stands at -4, highlighting a defensive vulnerability, but they have been able to score the same number of goals as Chapecoense-sc, with 24 goals for the season. Despite their struggles, Internacional's experience in the league could be a critical factor as they aim to climb out of the relegation zone. On the other hand, Chapecoense-sc is languishing at the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 14 points from 23 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses reflects ongoing difficulties, particularly in converting draws into wins. With a goal difference of -22, their defensive issues are apparent and have contributed to their low points tally. Recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in the last five matches, which adds to the challenges they face. The model gives Internacional a win probability of 55% in this encounter. While they have been unable to secure a victory in their last five matches, their overall standing and experience may provide them with the edge needed to overcome Chapecoense-sc. However, the uncertainty of form can lead to unexpected outcomes, which is why careful consideration is warranted. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Chapecoense-sc manage games at home, conceding just 1.45 goals per match. Internacional score 1.37 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
Internacional have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Internacional are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.72 | 3.44 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.94 | 1.68 | 2.03 | |
| 3.75 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 3.92 | 3.52 | 2.02 | 1.86 | 2.02 | — | — | |
| 3.02 | 3.15 | 2.16 | 1.91 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 3.83 | 3.54 | 2.01 | 1.86 | 1.98 | 1.68 | 2.06 | |
Betano | 3.80 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.78 | 1.89 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Internacional leads 5-4)In the last 10 matches between Chapecoense-SC and Internacional, Internacional has won 5 times, Chapecoense-SC has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested, such as the 1-0 and 2-1 results. However, Internacional's victories include a couple of heavier wins, notably a 5-2 and a 3-0. The last time Chapecoense-SC managed to secure a win against Internacional was in April 2019, indicating a slight edge for Internacional in recent encounters.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 52 | DWLDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 | LDWDW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 45 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 43 | WWWDD |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 | WLWWW |
| 18 | Internacional | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 25 | LLDDD |
| 19 |  Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonChapecoense-sc have won 8 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Chapecoense-sc 1-0 and drew with Chapecoense-sc 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 11D 19L from the last 42 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Internacional have won 5 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Gremio 3-1 and lost to Bahia 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 10D 13L from the last 35 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersChapecoense-sc
No reported absences
Internacional
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Chapecoense-sc have averaged 3.6 corners per match at home; Internacional 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Internacional have generated 1.43 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Internacional player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
