Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez Prediction, Tips & Odds
Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez
Match Preview
The model favours Cruz Azul to win against FC Juarez, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Cruz Azul currently sits in 7th place in the Liga MX standings, having accumulated 16 points from 10 matches. Their season has been a mixed bag with five wins, one draw, and four losses. The team's goal difference of +1 indicates they have been slightly more effective in attack compared to their defensive struggles, having scored 19 goals while conceding 18. In contrast, FC Juarez is languishing at the bottom of the table in 18th place, with just 3 points from their 10 matches. Their form has been particularly poor, with only one win and nine losses, which highlights significant challenges in both scoring and defending. They have managed to score only 7 goals while conceding 25, resulting in a goal difference of -18. This stark disparity in form and standings suggests a tough outing for Juarez. The model output gives Cruz Azul a high win probability, reflecting their stronger position and recent form. However, the caveat here is that unexpected factors like injuries or tactical changes could impact the match outcome. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.1% probability.
Cruz Azul have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Cruz Azul win as the most likely scoreline at 14.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Cruz Azul clean sheets, in line with their 23% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Cruz Azul are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.30 | 5.20 | 8.00 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.75 | 1.94 | |
| 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.50 | 1.50 | 2.55 | — | — | |
| 1.32 | 5.46 | 8.71 | 1.54 | 2.51 | — | — | |
| 1.31 | 4.62 | 6.28 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.30 | 4.75 | 7.50 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.91 | |
| 1.36 | 4.75 | 9.00 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.31 | 5.20 | 8.05 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.75 | 1.97 | |
Betano | 1.34 | 4.90 | 9.25 | 1.55 | 2.52 | 1.80 | 1.93 |
BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.50 | 1.50 | 2.35 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Cruz Azul leads 7-1)Cruz Azul has a dominant head-to-head record against FC Juarez, with 7 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 win for Juarez in their last 10 matches. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Cruz Azul to secure narrow victories, with four matches ending in a one-goal margin. However, they also recorded a substantial 4-0 victory, suggesting potential for heavy wins. FC Juarez's last victory in this fixture came over two years ago, highlighting a significant struggle to overcome Cruz Azul historically. Overall, the data reflects a clear advantage for Cruz Azul in their encounters.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 | LDLWW |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 | DLDWW |
| 5 |  Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 | DWDWL |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 17 | DDLWW |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 | LWDLD |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 9 | DLLLD |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 4 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCruz Azul have won 11 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Cruz Azul 3-3 and beat Cruz Azul 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 14D 8L from the last 44 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Juarez have won 5 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Leon 2-1 and lost to Toluca 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 17L from the last 34 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCruz Azul
No reported absences
FC Juarez
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Cruz Azul have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; FC Juarez 3.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Cruz Azul have generated 1.89 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Cruz Azul player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
