Dundee Utd vs Hibernian Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dundee Utd vs Hibernian
Match Preview
The model favours Hibernian to win this match against Dundee Utd, projecting a scoreline of 1-2. Hibernian currently sits in 10th place with 7 points from 7 matches, having secured 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their goal difference stands at -3, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. Despite their struggles, Hibernian's recent form shows a slight improvement, with one win and one draw in their last five matches. On the other hand, Dundee Utd is positioned 8th in the league, with 8 points accumulated from 7 games. Their record includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, resulting in a goal difference of -2. Dundee Utd's recent form has been mixed, with two wins and two losses in their last five fixtures. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to secure a win against Hibernian. The model gives Hibernian a 39.8% chance of winning, compared to Dundee Utd's 33.2%. Additionally, there is a 56.5% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 59.6% chance that both teams will score. However, a potential caveat for Hibernian is their tendency to struggle in away matches, which could impact their performance. The full method behind this prediction is outlined in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, using an in-house model that analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
Dundee Utd have been the stronger side, winning 39% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Dundee Utd are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Dundee Utd vs Hibernian| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.67 | 3.48 | 2.42 | 1.62 | 2.22 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
| 2.73 | 3.58 | 2.47 | 1.65 | 2.26 | — | — | |
| 2.47 | 3.23 | 2.30 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.40 | |
| 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.45 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.67 | 3.48 | 2.42 | 1.62 | 2.22 | 1.50 | 2.42 | |
Betano | 2.72 | 3.60 | 2.47 | 1.62 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.59 | 2.16 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between Dundee Utd and Hibernian stands at 3 wins for each side and 4 draws over the last 10 matches. This indicates a competitive rivalry, with no team significantly dominating the other. The scorelines reflect a mix of tight contests, with four matches ending in draws and several games featuring narrow margins. Notably, both teams have seen success, with Hibernian's last win occurring in early 2026, while Dundee Utd's most recent victory was in April 2023. Overall, the fixtures suggest a balanced matchup with the potential for closely contested games.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | LLLWD |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DLWDL |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | DWDLL |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | DWDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDundee Utd have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Dundee Utd 0-2 and lost to Dundee Utd 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 13L from the last 31 games (39% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Hibernian have won 8 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Ross County 0-3 and beat Dundee 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 8D 13L from the last 36 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDundee Utd
No reported absences
Hibernian
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Dundee Utd have averaged 2.8 corners per match at home; Hibernian 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Dundee Utd have generated 0.94 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 39% of them. They put 3.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Dundee Utd player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.