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Dundee vs Rangers Prediction, Tips & Odds

Dundee vs Rangers

PremiershipRegular Season - 9
Dundee
#4 · Premiership
WDLWL
VS
Dens Park, Dundee
Rangers
#2 · Premiership
WWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 (implied 64.0%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 66.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.50). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (66.5% vs 64.0%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Rangers to win against Dundee, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Rangers are currently in strong form, sitting in second place in the league with 16 points from seven matches. They have achieved five wins, one draw, and just one loss this season, scoring eight goals while conceding only four. This solid defensive record, combined with their recent five-match winning streak, highlights their competitive edge. Dundee, on the other hand, is positioned fourth in the league with 10 points from their seven games. Their record includes three wins, one draw, and three losses, with a goal difference of just two. Despite a promising start to the season, Dundee's recent form has been inconsistent, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This fluctuation could hinder their ability to challenge a strong opponent like Rangers. The model indicates a 68.0% probability of a Rangers win, alongside a projected score of 2-0. One key market to note is the over 2.5 goals at 60.0%. However, a potential caveat for Rangers could be complacency, as they face a mid-table team that could exploit any lapses in concentration. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Dundee Win24%7.56
Draw18%4.71
Rangers Win58%1.36
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7955.8%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5660.5%

Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Dundee 0-2 Rangers
7.1214.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Rangers -0.0
1.0952%

Rangers have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-2
7.12
14.0%
0-1
8.03
12.5%
1-2
8.10
12.4%
1-1
9.00
11.1%
0-3
9.12
11.0%
1-3
10.44
9.6%

Our model projects a 0-2 Rangers win as the most likely scoreline at 14.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Dundee
-0.0
5.88
Rangers
+0.0
1.09

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Rangers are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Dundee vs Rangers
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
7.904.801.351.562.331.781.90
William Hill
7.504.501.36——1.801.91
Bet365
7.004.751.381.572.381.801.95
1xBet
7.854.801.361.562.331.781.93

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
60.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
39.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XDundee or Draw
42%2.98
12Dundee or Rangers
82%1.17
X2Draw or Rangers
76%1.08

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Rangers leads 7-0)
0 Dundee3 Draw7 Rangers
25 Jan
Rangers
3-0
Dundee
Premiership
Nov 25
Dundee
0-3
Rangers
Premiership
Aug 25
Rangers
1-1
Dundee
Premiership
Mar 25
Dundee
3-4
Rangers
Premiership
Jan 25
Dundee
1-1
Rangers
Premiership
Dec 24
Rangers
1-0
Dundee
Premiership
Sept 24
Rangers
3-0
Dundee
League Cup
May 24
Rangers
5-2
Dundee
Premiership
Apr 24
Dundee
0-0
Rangers
Premiership
Dec 23
Rangers
3-1
Dundee
Premiership

In the last 10 matches between Dundee and Rangers, Rangers have won 7 times, while Dundee has not secured a victory, with 3 matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a largely one-sided contest, with Rangers often winning by a comfortable margin, such as 3-0 and 5-2. Dundee's ability to hold Rangers to draws has been limited, with only three such instances in the last decade. Notably, Dundee's last win against Rangers dates back several years, highlighting Rangers' dominance in this fixture.

Premiership Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Celtic
76011441018
LWWWW
2
Rangers
751184416
WWWWW
3
Heart Of Midlothian
7412148613
DLWWW
4
Dundee
731397210
WLDLW
5
ST Mirren
731389-110
LLLWD
6
ST Johnstone
7223910-18
DLWDL
10
Hibernian
7214811-37
DLLLW
11
Falkirk
713369-36
DWDLL
12
Kilmarnock
7124615-95
DWDLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
DundeeHome
2W1D1L
4 playedGF 6 · GA 41.75 pts/game
RangersAway
3W1D0L
4 playedGF 5 · GA 22.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
DundeeRangers
1.49Goals p.g.2.16
1.49Goals conceded p.g.1.19
20%Clean sheets32%
37%Win rate52%
2.97Avg goals in match3.35
1.08xG per game1.53
-0.14xGA per game-0.12
46%Possession %55%
3.6Shots on target / game4.5
4.3Corners per game6.0
Dundee
Recent Form

Dundee have won 8 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Motherwell 2-1 and drew with ST Johnstone 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 14L from the last 35 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: DundeeAll competitions
19 Sept
Dundee
2-1
Motherwell
Premiership
02 Sept
Dundee
1-1
ST Johnstone
Premiership
30 Aug
Dundee
1-2
Hibernian
Premiership
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0-2
Dundee
Premiership
15 Aug
Aberdeen
3-0
Dundee
League Cup
08 Aug
Dundee
2-0
Aberdeen
Premiership
13
Win
37%
8
Draw
23%
14
Lost
40%
Rangers
Recent Form

Rangers have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rangers 0-1 and beat Falkirk 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 7L from the last 31 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: RangersAll competitions
20 Sept
Celtic
0-1
Rangers
Premiership
13 Sept
Rangers
3-0
Celtic
League Cup
09 Sept
Rangers
1-0
ST Mirren
Premiership
02 Sept
Falkirk
1-2
Rangers
Premiership
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0-1
Rangers
Premiership
27 Aug
FK Jablonec
1-0
Rangers
UEFA Europa Conference League
16
Win
52%
8
Draw
26%
7
Lost
23%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Dundee

No reported absences

Rangers

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Rangers Win1.36 (58%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.56 (60.5%)
Both Teams Score1.79 (55.8%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.35 (39.5%)
BTTS No1.92 (44.2%)
Speculative
Dundee Win7.56 (23.8%)
Draw4.71 (18.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Dundee have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Rangers 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Rangers have generated 1.53 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 52% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rangers player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.