Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg
Match Preview
The model favours SC Freiburg to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Eintracht Frankfurt. Freiburg currently sits in a strong second position in the Bundesliga, having won their first two matches of the season. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by five goals scored and only one conceded, resulting in a positive goal difference of four. This solid start demonstrates their ability to compete at the top level, making them a formidable opponent. In contrast, Eintracht Frankfurt is struggling in 13th place with only one point from their opening two games. They have scored four goals but have also conceded seven, leading to a negative goal difference of three. Their recent form reflects some inconsistency, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. However, their current league position indicates that they will need to find a way to tighten their defense if they want to improve their standing. The model gives Freiburg a strong win probability, reflecting their current form and position. However, a potential caveat for this prediction is Frankfurt's ability to capitalize on home advantage, as they will be eager to turn their season around. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.7% probability.
Eintracht Frankfurt have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Eintracht Frankfurt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.36 | 3.84 | 2.88 | 1.48 | 2.43 | 1.43 | 2.62 | |
| 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
| 2.30 | 3.88 | 2.79 | 1.51 | 2.57 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 3.43 | 2.56 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.80 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.60 | |
| 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.80 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.40 | 3.90 | 2.92 | 1.48 | 2.43 | 1.43 | 2.66 | |
Betano | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.87 | 1.55 | 2.52 | 1.45 | 2.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Eintracht Frankfurt leads 4-2)In the last ten matches between Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg, Eintracht Frankfurt has won 4 times, with 4 draws and SC Freiburg winning 2 times. The scorelines indicate a fairly competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and only a few decisive victories. Notably, four matches ended in a score of 2-2 or 1-1, suggesting that the teams often cancel each other out. SC Freiburg's last victory in this matchup came in April 2022, indicating a struggle to secure wins against Eintracht Frankfurt in recent encounters.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Augsburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  SV Elversberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | WD |
| 6 |  Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 16 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 17 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 18 |  Hamburger SV | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonEintracht Frankfurt have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 and drew with Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 9L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
SC Freiburg have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat SC Freiburg 0-1 and beat Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 3D 12L from the last 35 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersEintracht Frankfurt
No reported absences
SC Freiburg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt have averaged 2.0 corners per match at home; SC Freiburg 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Eintracht Frankfurt have generated 1.47 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Eintracht Frankfurt player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
